Working on reliability and validity

STL FAN

STL FAN

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Silver Level
Joined
Aug 29, 2014
Total posts
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Reliability, yielding the same results in a scientific experiment or statistical trial. Validity is a measure of how well a test measures what it claims to measure. Together, a person can show evidence that can predict future results objectively because both are working together from how this person is measuring, testing from experience of understanding how to administer a test. Practice of assessing, administrating the act of test giving improves over time. Poker for me, since I am looking for information, from practice to gain, to predict results; now will go through a similar process over X amount of time as I gradually get better at administrating my poker game against my opponents?

Three hours of “A” game play; this amount of time is the equivalent of time needed to produce reliable results, over a period of time each day that gives my game validity from X amount of money won. In a perfect world the results would produce guaranteed money from my game each day, but poker is abstract, a game of incomplete information so, results have variables, the opponents are the variable’s that skew results. However, the brain playing poker, three hours is the average time the brain will compute poker then our game will start dropping off. Because when we first sit down in a session we are playing a version of our “A” game, assessing our game when we first sit down is critical in the prediction of how we are going to play for X amount of time. The variables here are tilt, how we handle tilt, outside influence, how we handle examples of variables contribute to overall play for X amount of time, before, and after three hours.

Three hour blocks and then rest, I study my game, how I needed experience, as many hours as I could sit and play. The vastness of poker was the necessity of time needed to gain experience. I also noticed how my game would flatten out not by the results but by how I noticed my decisions were not as reliable as time went long into a session, especially in the last six months. As I blocked my game play to an average of three hour blocks then rest, take break away from poker, taking back part of my life that I gave up for experience to gain on the game. I was seeing more consistent decision making however, this did not mean the results were consistent because poker has to many variables to predict results in the same manner as administrating a test that pose the same or similar questions from each test as an example.

SNG, MTT, and Cash games, I pick a cheap game, to assess where my mindset is early. For example, when hand selection is my most important thought I should look to play SNG’s. If the structure of the game is naturally drawn to my mind then MTT’s would be a better suit for my game this day as an example. If the read of the opponent is my mind’s first thoughts then cash games would be the best for my game. Doing this process over the last six months and having to adjust what I have experienced has led me to how I view the game going into each session. For example, instead of just playing X amount of time, my play is structured for my brain to play optimally in each three hour session. Going through my ritual of assessing my game each day allows my game, how my brain is processing information that allows me to make a decision about which type of game to play, that will yield the most consistent decisions based on where my mindset is for each session.

MTT’s are now tailored towards one hour late registration, and length of this style of game comes closer to three hours in length that is within my brain playing at its best. However, the length of time is not consistent but keeping the game simple allows for a margin of error of play for MTT’s.

In conclusion, what I can say, I am not having $30.00-$40.00 down swings for a day as before then making up that money back to a breakeven point. My blocked sessions are more consistent, especially my decisions. The results of money gained can now have a chance to add to my bankroll each day with smaller losing sessions that in the past were bigger swings. Mentally it is much better and my overall game is structured towards what I assess about myself starting each day. This allows for more focus on playing rather that the swings of results good or bad affecting my day away from the table. I am gaining on having a more healthy game, not just the results of my decisions being burnt into my brain.
 
STL FAN

STL FAN

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Aug 29, 2014
Total posts
115
Chips
0
Centralized and non-centralized spots in my opponents, in my game; after three hours when the game drops off mentally, I am now entering in a non-centralized part of my game. The situation might seem normal but when pushing these further mistakes happen in centralized parts that are not necessarily seen by the person. Opponents might see a mistake but not know why? Does the person know their game is now fallen off in an uncomfortable situation from a centralized part of their game that represents strength normally? Assessing information properly, measuring the results, understanding what is about to happen before it happens then information triggers a spot in your game; from this spot understanding of an adjustment of thought needs to be done instead of making a mistake caused by fatigue from a simple mistake that leads to tilt?

Instead a different decision is made that saves money, by recognizing a mistake, then not repeating fatigue play from normal wear and tear, from a mental weakness that was repeating itself. When analyzing my game viewing these situations were starting to form a pattern from making routine mistakes consistently until I could understand how to fix my problem.

These small steps and properly putting this process as a part of a game helps to solve mistakes, recognize errors after analyzation, then putting triggers of adjustment for improvements. This is part of the process of reliability and validity for my game. While fixing this in my game, I can now exploit my opponent(s) game when they are not recognizing they are making mental errors in their game, either caused by fatigue, exploiting non-centralized parts of their game were they are weak. Staying away from centralized parts of their game, their strengths; this process now can have reliability and validity by fixing my own game, then applying this information in a different way and using this information against my opponent(s).
 
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