If it helps I have been collecting a few stats.
Playing .25 cent SnG PS I could not even get in the top 18 in 10 attempts. Always runner runner and out.
...10 games is nothing. It's not even worth getting worked up over. It's variance. Why do you think you need to cash in the top 18 out 10 SNGs? What exactly would cashing in 1/10 games prove?
But what I am doing different at PS is upping the buyin for some tournies.
It could be they are sucking me in like heroin, but I have finished no problem ITM in the $12 and 2 times in 2 attempts in the $7.50.
...Again, it's variance. This time you're on the positive side of it, but cashing in bigger buy-in games doesn't prove anything either. Also, your sample size is ridiculously small. $12 games a big jump from .25 games. Do you think you could maintain a positive win rate at the $12 games if you continued playing?
Runner runner suckouts happen, they happen real as well, its just not to the same amount and seems more normal at the higher buyin at least for now on PS.
...Well, a logical explanation for this is that there are a lot weaker players at the lower levels. Weaker players will less experience and knowledge of the game will take more...interesting...lines when it comes to playing hands. So, they might play more hands, hands that better players might not. So, if there is an increase of players playing hands and more hands going to showdown, then you're going to see an increase of suck outs and losses.
I still don't trust it, had to sit for 2 hours clicking fold as absolutely no starting hands get dealt to me once the bubble breaks. I went from 6th to out in 30 something. Which is better than the old flopped boat being beat scenario knocking me out.
...It happens. If this were live, would you blame the random shuffler for being rigged? Also, you blame the cards for your 30th place exit. While true, the cards (or lack of playable ones) do take a part in it, you as a player are just to blame. You don't need cards to make plays that'll give you a better chance at staying alive. You can steal, resteal, use your tight-folding image to your advantage, etc.
I have to many leaks, especially in these long tournaments to ever see in real success. But I think I'm pretty good at reading the other players hands using all the available info. Like last night, just before the bubble. I have AKos. Flop AK with 2 hearts. Guy goes allin on me. It would of dented my stack pretty good. I knew he also had AK though. I folded, he showed AKos as well. I folded to prevent the runner runner hearts though.
...Do you always automatically assume someone has a flush draw when 2 suited cards hit the flop? If you do, that's pretty leaky. It's terrible to fold just because you think there a chance you might lose, especially when you most likely have the best hand.
The worst part, though, is that you put villain on AK as well, and you still folded. Theres no way villain had AK w/ a flush draw, so at best they only 1 heart in their hand. Even if the villain had a heart, the odds of a runner-runner flush hitting is only 4%. Terrible play.
But I could tell by his previous plays on 50 or so hands and the fact I was holding AK he likely did not have AA or KK. He would not not of done what he did PF with the smaller pair. He would not of went allin on a draw. It really gets pretty easy the more you practice to put someone on something. That part I find fun. I also practice that allot when I click fold if time permits. My previous play for those 50 hands, if I was him, I would of been more careful, I could of easily been holding KK or AA. I play those holdings to see a flop with 1 other person with great care.
...So, your read of the player was spot on. I don't know why you don't think it was possible for your opponent to hold AA or KK, but it's possible you could have been.
Still, I still don't understand how you could fold because you're scared of a 4% chance of a runner-runner flush hitting the board. It's mind boggling.
Normally, I would not do that, but that is the kind of shit I get forced into doing because of all the BS I see. Gun shy!!!!!!
...Yeah? You find yourself in a lot of situations where you have top 2 pair and lose to runner-runner flushes a lot?
I'm also playing way above my bank which influences my decisions and prevents me from going to the finish line in the event I get some cards. Another huge leak.
...Yes, a huge leak. And the easiest to fix.
I'll stick with it as long as my bank will allow. I'm clearly not a fan of the micro stakes bingo poker though.
...So, you can't beat the micro stakes because of the 'bingo' players, but you think you can beat the better players at higher stakes. Can you explain the logic?