When people say they're a underdog in the hand, how is it worked out?
When people say, i'm a 2-1 dog, how is this worked out??
For example, a hand came up the other day where i knew i was behind, but i also knew it was only just, running it through the hand replayer i was actually about 47% and i was getting 1.1-1 pot odds
on my call, should i have called here?? I remember a hand that chris ferguson won where he knew he was a dog but considered the risk acceptable b/c it was heads up for the win in a major tourny, poss wsop
but not sure.
As this is a cash game hand is this just a bad call as over the long run it wont make me any money??
Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
Hand History Converter
by Stoxpoker (http://www.stoxpoker.com/)
Hero (SB): $2 (100 bb)
BB: $3.16 (158 bb)
MP: $3.10 (155 bb)
CO: $0.92 (46 bb)
BTN: $2.69 (134.5 bb)
: Hero is SB with J♦
MP raises to $0.12
, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.11, BB folds
: ($0.26) 9♦
9♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $2.98 and is all-in
The villain here is 64/31 fwiw and was a terrible player, as soon as the flop came down i decided to commit to this hand vs that villain, when he pushed i know i have the OESD plus my 2 overs are good too, the guy would literally do this with anything, all pp's, any Ax, any hand with a 7 or an 8 in it, seriously the guy was soo bad, the guy was raising a lot and i'd be planning for a while to flat call his raises, in any pos b/c he was so aggro you could always rely on an overbet from him with all sorts, and try and trap him with any broadway, suited aces etc.
So i figure i've got the 4 Kings, 4 8's and 6 J+Q's giving me 14 outs, lets take 2 of the 8's out b/c he could have one of those and it still leaves us with 12 outs, using the 4x rule, which i know isn't super accurate, that gives us approx 48% of hitting by the river, which we're now going to see if we call.
When he shoves i'm getting approx 1.14-1 which is slightly over evens and as i'm slightly under evens to win the hand can i call with the extra .14 odds??? If not what odds would i need to call knowing that i'm a dog??