When do you fold a monster

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thomovich123

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Alot of times when lets say i have trip AcAs on a board of AdThQc i bet 15% of my stack villain calls. Jc hits on the flop and villain raises 60% of his stack do i just call or fold what is the correct decision
 
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CactusCat

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You only have 15%of your stack in there, so I'd just fold. He's never betting 60% of his stack without a king, or with a worse set, especially when you could easily have AK or been c-betting KK with the gutshot yourself. This tells you he doesn't care how strong your hand is because he does in fact have the straight.
 
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hollinc

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Well, you have to put your opponent on a hand that beats you which currently is only Kx. Think about his range of hands, what type of player is he? What types of hands would he continue with.

Some important things to consider in factoring in a decision are: What was the preflop action? If he's a thinking player who is positionally aware, what position is he in preflop? Also, what are the bets and his stack size relative to the pot?

If his range is very tight we can assume he's playing only strong Kings. For example, AK, KK, KQ, KJ, maybe K10 but that could be stretching it. We can assume that he would re-raise, or 3bet KK and maybe AK so that might leave you with just KQ/KJ/maybeK10 in his range. Again, I don't know exactly what his range might be, I'm just going off of the fact that much info is given.

Think also about, how he'd play those hands too. Would he slowplay KJ on that flop? Does everything make sense up to this point?

If you think he has air a majority of the time, plus factor in your 10 outs to hit a better hand, it might be profitable to continue.
 
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hollinc

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You only have 15%of your stack in there, so I'd just fold. He's never betting 60% of his stack without a king, or with a worse set, especially when you could easily have AK or been c-betting KK with the gutshot yourself. This tells you he doesn't care how strong your hand is because he does in fact have the straight.

Depends what limit he's playing and the opponent, in some circumstances I'd agree, others, no I'd definitely disagree. I've played with people that make the dumbest of bluffs which would include things like this. I'm not saying he's necessarily bluffing here or that it doesn't make sense for him to have anything but Kx but its not entirely out of the realm of possibility w/ unknown villain.
 
ScooperNova

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When you think you're beat, fold.
 
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