re: Poker & What happens when we take time off or play too long
• Gambler’s fallacy we tend to think that if something has not occurred for a long time, it will soon happen. If you flip a fair coin six times and get heads, the odds
that the next flip will result in tails is actually no greater than the odds for heads.
• Attribution error we tend to attribute or assign blame for negative outcomes to others or outside forces, but believe we are personally responsible for positive outcomes.
Critical thinking helps us avoid common fallacies. It also discourages us from rushing to arrive at a fixed, closed or set answer. Many people feel uncomfortable with ambiguity or an open-ended process of searching. They want the absolute correct answer, here and now. Critical thinking warns us that there is rarely one quick, simple correct answer.
Critical thinking points to the value of looking at a question, issue, or evidence from more than one point of view. It tells
us that adopting a single perspective or point of view often blinds us to important aspects of a question, issue, or problem.
Critical thinking leads us to uncover hidden assumptions. Assumptions unstated premises or untested starting points are necessary, and we use them all the time. There is nothing wrong with having assumptions. However, assumptions tend to block off certain avenues of inquiry while favoring others. Problems can arise when we fail to recognize or examine our assumptions. Critical thinking tells us to notice assumptions and see that they can limit choices. If we adopt alternative assumptions, the outcome may be very different
When thinking about hands played when drawing to flushes, straights, sets, or hands holding up and getting out drawn. The unconscious mind knows the % when drawing for straights and flushes or hitting sets etc… but do we fall back into the fallacy of thinking for example, when we are not completing the straight or drawing to the flush has not happened in a session or a MTT tournament do we think this time we are going to hit? Then blame outside sources out of our control or the other person when they do not complete as examples. Or when we are in the zone do we think it is all us.
Then at times when emotion is high we are already on tilt but do not realize this is happening? When emotions are calm and every move is right do we think we are poker gods? I have been a mental fish with both of these. Since I am learning how to construct a mental frame of myself and my opponents; the focus on both parties is starting to let me understand how many unconscious leaks I have that show up in the wrong situation.
I am starting a process of identifying my tilt triggers and writing them down as a session continues. Why? This helps to let my conscious mind to trigger my unconscious to help where and why I tilt as it slowly occurs. Because of what I have researched tilt will slowly happen more than instant shove monkey or a punching of a wall. This helps me make a tilt model of my game to help with being consistent and see when I am starting to tilt. This will help to put this model in my unconscious until then I have to write them down constantly until I have this model in my back pocket. The two terms at the start have branches of leaks that are universal in the unconscious mind this is part of my ugliness of my C- game the more I reveal about my game the more challenging it comes to update my game.