Question about odds and outs
In a ring game, is it always correct to chase your outs for any situation if you are getting the right odds
to do so?
5nl, full ring, and everyone has 100 BBs.
-UTG raises it to .15, he is a tight player. You play him on a regular basis.
-MP calls the .15, you know nothing about this player. Its folded to you.
-You're on the button with 8s9s and make the call. The blinds fold.
There is .52 in the pot. The flop is 9c 2d 4h.
-UTG bets out .05
-You feel like your opponent is either setting a trap and is trying to get you to raise. You know from previous games, he always C/R his sets and the board is too dry for him to have hit 2 pair. He doesn't bet out if there is an overcard to his hand. So, you figure he has you beat with 1010-AA at this point and raising will only get him to come over the top of you with 1010+.
However, you figure you have 5 clean outs (2 9s, 3 10s) and you can take the lead if you hit either a 9 or a 10 on the turn. With 5 outs, you have 8.4:1 odds off hitting and you're getting 11.4:1 on your money to call.
If you can safely assume your opponent is just holding an over pair and nothing else and a turned 2 pair or trips will give give you the best hand, is this a profitable call you should always make? What if you only have 2 outs, but you're still getting the correct odds to call? Should you make the call every time?