This is a discussion on poker odds/outs calc question within the online poker forums, in the Learning Poker section; I'm generally pretty good at math, but i'm confused about this. I'm sure i'm missing something simple here but... here's my Q.. me: Ah Jh villain: 


#1




poker odds/outs calc question
I'm generally pretty good at math, but i'm confused about this. I'm sure i'm missing something simple here but... here's my Q..
me: Ah Jh villain: 8s 9s Board: 8h 5h 2c poker odds calculator says i'm 54% to win, villain is 46%... I'm not sure why i'm the fave at this point.. I know i've got 3A outs, 3J and 9 flush outs =15... theres 47 cards left... 15/47= <33%, and he's got a made pair... so why am i the fave here?... I'd really appreciate an explanation from you veterans... thx guys 
#3




He has very little outs to improve compared to you.
If a 9h comes he has 2 pair but you get the flush. He can make a runner runner straight with 67 but again if it's the 6h or 7h he'll make his straight but you'll get the flush and beat him. 
#4




The calculator is showing you your equity meaning chanches to win the hand.
(number of outs * 4)  (number of outs  8) = Equity if i remember correctely. In your case. (15*4) (158) =607 =53 of course it is not 53 exactely because you have a open ended streight draw when a 10 comes or gutshot when a queen or a seven comes witch will add more outs. So a little over 53 %. 
#5




re: Poker & poker odds/outs calc question
Flush draw + two overs is a favourite over a pair. Thats a good thing to remember in tourny's and cash games a like. If you can put your opponent on a pair you can raise the flop big and put them to a hard decision with a ton of equity in the pot and not even a made hand yet.
As for your question you have 3 Jacks, 3 Aces and 9 hearts which is 15 total outs. Using the 2/4 rule you hit one of your outs (15 x 4) = ~ 60% to win. This is an estimate (and a bit off too) but it's a lot easier to do in your head at the time than complicated maths equations. Oh yeah in OP you've just worked out the chance with one card to come too, we have two cards left to catch our outs. Quote:

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Although I do disrespectually disagree with his statement that 'the tough part is knowin' ur outs' (sure we can't always assume clean outs.. but as far as calculating outs goes this is really elementary). 