re: Poker & Pocket Pairs vs. Overcards
Originally Posted by sam1chips
Haha yes but isn't that the problem? A lot of villains are going to play TT-AA the same way as they play AK, especially if they don't have a ton of chips. You can't know what they have until they flip their hand over. And i know there are a ton of other variable involved, but I would much rather call a raise with 66-88 (especially with position) and see what happens from here.
Note: I'm primarily a cash game player as well, but do have experience in tournament.
That isn't really the problem... I probably wouldn't do it if they had AK. If I have a tell for their K8-JT raise then it is generally different to their TT-AA/AK raise. If my read is wrong then I accept I played the hand wrong; it isn't a problem when I lose with the weaker hand as I know I made a mistake.
The problem is when I get it right, that I do have equity, and they still call it - because it puts the tourney life on the line each time I do get it right. As HooDooKoo says, it is the right play because eventually, if you play enough, you should win more than you lose. The issue is that you have to double up a few times to win big in a tourney so you need to "not be unlucky" more times than in a cash game.
How often does calling a raise with 66-88 work out? It is a big pay day when it comes off but the odds
of flopping a set are 7/1 so I think you're losing more overall (unless you are deep-stacked). Your odds are significantly better than that playing them all-in heads-up against separate overcards. It's just when you win or lose, you risk more at that particular time.