Hi everyone,

It might just being missing something, so please forgive me if I seem stupid asking this question.

Everywhere you go you hear that eg. 66 vs AK is a coinflip situation, or close. Like 55% vs 45%.

But when holding two cards you have 7 outs - roughly that give you a 32% chance of atleast 1 of your cards making a pair. That's what i don't get.

66 is beating AK unless it hits, so why is it a coinflip situation? The straight possibilities that AK has can't make up for those 13%. Ofcourse it weighs a little up, but then the probabillity of 66 making a set must drag something down again since you have 12.5% chance to hit your set which would kill AK unless it hits the straight or hits a full house which is extremely unlikely.

Any kind of explanation is appreciated

Thank you

Updated Feb 2018:
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