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C

CrushingSouls

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Firstly not know if this is the right section.

So I played a hand before and this is how it went. (cash game) I had 77 in BB

There was an EP raise a SB call and I called in BB.

Flop is 987 with 2 hearts. SB donk bets 80% pot, I call, EP raises, then SB reraises making his raise 43% of my full stack. Now at the time I was sure at least one of them hit the straight then possibly either one was flushing or had a set.

I decide to push push allin for 100bb and both call Making the pot 307bb.

It turns out both of them had J10 (flopped straight), and both didn't have redraws for the flush. I lost the hand.

Afterwards I went on poker odds calculator to see if I was getting the right odds. Now on the flop against their two hands, they both had a 57% chance of tieing and I had a 35% of winning. With the pot 3 to 1 of my bet (my allin 100bb push) thats 33% odds. Because 35% is higher than 33%, in this current situation I played this correct because I was getting the proper odds? Someone answer this thanks

Also now if I take into account that either of them could have had a higher set, then I would have been drawing almost dead and therefore not getting good odds at all.

So my questions for the math wizzes are. In this hand KNOWING what hands they had were they good odds? Then not knowing what hands they had is this something you have to fold as you are either drawing for a fullhouse or you are dead.
 
H

hffjd2000

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35% is almost equal to 33%. Meaning, its a 50 50 decision.

By the looks, one of your opponents has a made hand while the other you beat on the flop. You are still second best and has a share of 33% equity(round off).

If cash game, I will not gamble with a coinflip like this.

Tournaments, its different.
 
LD1977

LD1977

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With bottom set vs 2 nits I snap fold and feel good about it. Against 2 fish, I call in case they are spazzing with draws/2P hands (they love connectors).

In any case with top set you always call here. Bottom set is heavily reliant on who the opponents are.
 
Arjonius

Arjonius

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You can't or at least shouldn't just look at the math vs their actual hands. You don't know exactly what they hold, so this is 20/20 hindsight.

What matters is the math against the ranges you put them on at the time you had to make your decision.
 
C

CrushingSouls

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Thanks guys great answers.
 
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