Originally Posted by ovitoo
Its been said already but I just want to reiterate. This is way off and quite the opposite of what you should be doing at 2nl.
I like your example of a tough spot so I'm gonna comment.
Basically, you are correct to cbet here. Checking to "take a free card" wouldn't make sense bc it's pretty unlikely the free card will be a 2 outer if you are behind. You already have a hand here so a cbet is necessary. A bad player may c/r a Q which will let you ditch it. And if you get a call on your cbet I'd just try and check it down and fold to a bet in most cases (vil dep). Say the flop was coordinated (flush draw), assuming the turn and river brick (no flush, no A or K) in most cases I'd be looking to call around 1/2 pot imo. This is assuming you have little to no info on villain. GL!
edit: Not sure why I didn't notice, but you put vil. stats. Personally a player with a vpip >50 is going to get my money if he has the Q here just about anytime there's one over to my pp and no flush/str8 possibilities. Assuming he doesnt 3b for the first time.
Many thanks for the input. Just to be clear, I have never thought about limping AK and probably never will (I will 4b or shove AK nearly all the time).
About this example, I will have lost 3bb + a pot size post flop bet if I check/fold after his flop called (presuming he hit the Q). I am down 8 bb within 2 orbits and it takes me forever to get back up to break-even.
If I play "my game", adjusting to villains, I will win the occasional blinds here and there, but only like 2-3 times until someone calls and the above scenario hits again, I am back down if not even lower. And hypothetically, if the J hits the flop this second time around, Vil will most definitely fold to my cbet.
So all my standard 3x bb raises PF and cbets seems to be a losing strategy. You see my point? And playing very tight, never playing marginal hands, will only cause my villains to fold asap when they see me enter the pot.
I build pots preflop and I fold when flop is not in my favour, and I lose money long term. I do fold TPTK when necessary.
How do I solve this?