~6:10 you mention if they know what they're doing with the 44 they'll squeeze. Remember you opened from UTG so your range is extremely strong. The call behind is then usually an implied odds hand that wants to hit big or hit a big draw and either push you off your big pair or get their hand paid off. So although a squeeze works against him, your range is still super-strong here and I don't think a thinking player would be squeezing here without a legit hand.
bw mentions this but ~7:30 that 5 was not a bad card it was a very good card, because now unless he has AK his kicker doesn't play and we chop with AT/AJ which imo is a huge part of his range. But I agree with bw there, you can't fold to such a small bet on that river with TP. If he bets pot here I'd consider folding but when he makes such a small bet I think you just have to look him up. He also limped behind preflop which should rule out AK against most players. Also note that in addition to helping your kicker not play the second 5 counterfits Q9 so now you have that beat. I just don't think you're beat by a ton here and if you are it's worth paying him off with the super-small bet.
~9:00 the 298 board 2-toned I wouldn't exactly classify as a dry flop and would consider just check-folding depending on stats, but I guess a cbet isn't horrible. After the J peels though I do agree with betting. 7T/QT got there, but they'll be raising and aren't a huge part of their range. So I bet 3/4 pot or so and obviously fold to a raise. Also not a big thing but especially after thinking for so long on the turn, don't insta-check the river. At least wait a few seconds and then act. The insta-check basically tells
him nothing changed for you, you were planning to check river before and that river didn't change anything. If you pause he knows it's possible you picked up a flush and could be going for a C/R or something. Just remember, waiting for a little bit doesn't give anything away, because you do it when you're thinking or when it's an easy decision, but if you act quick it gives information that you had an easy decision. It's not possible to fake this or balance it by acting quickly when we have to think for a while lol.
~14:45, AQ you turn TPTK with 2 kings and river the boat K's over A's, I really don't like the raise on that river. What do you think is calling you that you beat? Another A probably calls, so you lose some to rake but is essentially breakeven and obviously a K calls you with quads. Do you really think a PP is calling you here ever?
Discussion on donking vs. C/Ring with the set. Most players if they raise preflop are going to cbet a flush draw. They want to build a pot for when they do hit and get some FE while their equity is high. So if he's cbetting flush draws we don't care about giving him a free card because he'll never have it. The other question is whether the flush card would scare him from putting money into the pot with a worse hand. It's possible he would check behind mid pair and then not put much more in but we're not getting much from him with a donk bet either. So personally I like a C/R here with someone cbetting a decent amount. If he's super-passive postflop and checks his draws then donking into him isn't bad. We just have to look at the hands he could have. The flush draws that cbet a C/R is good. The sets/2-pair either way is fine because most likely we both want the money in and the same with over-sets just it's bad. If he checks behind flush draws then we want to donk into him I guess, but with someone who cbets this much I like a C/R here more.
lol at the Amy hand, guy calls with 99 to that shove and complains that she called with Q7o? Of course it's not a good play to do it consistently but if he's gonna pay her off when she hits that call all of a sudden is a profitable move, so he has no room to complain lol.
~33:30 - agree with Sticker in general, I think 34s is a bit low, but if you had like 56s+ I'd consider limping if there were a few limpers. Obviously if you've got some regs who will squeeze in the blinds you can't limp as much.
~39:45 - What is he doing this with? 23/56/67c seem like decent possibilities. Also remember he's a favorite I believe with those hands, so I think I'd fold that flop, just because I don't see what a halfstack's doing this with that we beat. We're either barely ahead or way behind basically. If we had AK I may consider stacking here because AQ/AJ could stack. Also, you're discussing pot odds
but ignoring the fact that no matter what the rest of the money's going in if you call. Are you really folding when a club comes? Also calling you kinda turn your hand face up so the opponent isn't going to shove a flush draw here and basically I think you're beat unless he's overplaying a weak ace. Just my opinion.