How you play this hand-lucky & unlucky

niphon56

niphon56

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This is PS VIP super saturday chromestar 20161231 tournament
BB 250
my chip 4000
4500 ITM registers 6000/40028
 

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niphon56

niphon56

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I raise 1000, 1/3 of my chips, but 2 players All-in after flop.
 

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cranberry

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I raise 1000, 1/3 of my chips, but 2 players All-in after flop.

My opinion is the following: the situation here depends on your location. If you entered the bonus zone - to go all-in. If this bubble and have the opportunity to reach the prize zone - the fold.
Reasoning: the best hand at the moment - it's three aces, then - a flush draw and a straight draw. I would have gone all-in.
 
lovemiscou

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I would just ship it all in, the little bit of chips you have wont take you to the money and you probably have the winning hand if it holds.
 
catchitfool

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i get as many chips in as i could it appears you got best hand dont make it cheap for the draws. gooder luck
 
niphon56

niphon56

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4500 ITM
registers 6000/40028, means 34,000 knocked out already.
If i fold, maybe can survive to 1 dollar, ITM.
Give me the best suggestion you think, and let's guess what cards the other players had !?
 
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lovemiscou

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This is not advice, the way i would play the hand is ship my chips all in, i think that the hand is best at the moment. When i play a tourny, i don't play to min cash so i take any chance i get to try and double up, so if the hand doesn't hold, so be it, on to the next one.
I think that one player has a flush draw and the other AK or AQ.
 
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I'll take a crack, UTG2 had A5, The button was on a flush and straight draw with 7-8, so go.
 
niphon56

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For more informations i observed.

On my left player,one~n, prefer All-in strategy, about 50% of his hands used all-in to steal blind & chips on table. Pass 5 times of all-in lose 3 times.

On my right player,C~W, a rational player, not call without a good hand.

So, i hope more persons can give suggestions and guess what cards the other players had, then can distinguish what's skill or what's luck.
 
kidkvno1

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I would of shoved on the flop.

Guy to your right might of missed his hand KQ or JK, the guy on the right Ax or a pair.
 
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chronical

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1. Unless you know your ops are nits/rocks (or atleast 1 of them) who play ~5% of hands you should call... and even then I think.
The only hand you are scared now is AA. UTG can shove and called by MP with basicaly any flush dro any Ax and any decent pair who plays fishy stuff like KK, any 2 pairs. At the moment you have ~80%
to win vs 10% and 10% if your ops are decent players. I mean if you have AK on UTG would you shove to beat out flushes/get paid by flushes that did not make it?would you fold have something like AJo+ on MP with ~9bbs? And sets and AJo/s are not geting folded either. You are basicaly want to get in this situation so you get payd off by flush dros/OESD,weak top pairs and a set of 5s.
2.You say UTG is a shover means he most likely has an Ax(yes ther is a chanse of AA but still any ATo is getting shoved here by him) maybe s set of 5s most likely no a dro hand but maybe he is a complete fish =). MP might be a good(rational as you say) player but he is short so he is also shoving/calling AJo+, twopairs like 56o, flush an street dro.
3.Geting to 1$ is basicaly nothing(will it really change your life that much?will it give you some good whigle room at 1/2c? most likely - no =) ) + you are looking at ~13K chips (~50bb/M-Number~28(and even the next round of blinds should not worry you that much)) this will get you further than 1$ and maybe will let you get to the FT.
 
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Ahoy

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I would just ship it all in, the little bit of chips you have wont take you to the money and you probably have the winning hand if it holds.

I would do the same.
Set of sixes looks really nice here, but the flush draw is there too.
With just a few chips left, I think the best thing is to go all in :)
 
cranberry

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For more informations i observed.

On my left player,one~n, prefer All-in strategy, about 50% of his hands used all-in to steal blind & chips on table. Pass 5 times of all-in lose 3 times.

On my right player,C~W, a rational player, not call without a good hand.

So, i hope more persons can give suggestions and guess what cards the other players had, then can distinguish what's skill or what's luck.

Can someone of the players is A-6?
 
KingSStone

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Hi my friend I think in this hand there is someone with flush drow so I have a crack with full house chance so pay the all in and good luck
 
niphon56

niphon56

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This is not advice, the way i would play the hand is ship my chips all in, i think that the hand is best at the moment. When i play a tourny, i don't play to min cash so i take any chance i get to try and double up, so if the hand doesn't hold, so be it, on to the next one.
I think that one player has a flush draw and the other AK or AQ.


Thk your suggestion, lovemiscou
I did the same judgement, All-in. and you are sensitivity.
I will post "turn" tomorrow, let others guess one day more what cards they had, poker is dramatic game.
 
niphon56

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1. Unless you know your ops are nits/rocks (or atleast 1 of them) who play ~5% of hands you should call... and even then I think.
The only hand you are scared now is AA. UTG can shove and called by MP with basicaly any flush dro any Ax and any decent pair who plays fishy stuff like KK, any 2 pairs. At the moment you have ~80%
to win vs 10% and 10% if your ops are decent players. I mean if you have AK on UTG would you shove to beat out flushes/get paid by flushes that did not make it?would you fold have something like AJo+ on MP with ~9bbs? And sets and AJo/s are not geting folded either. You are basicaly want to get in this situation so you get payd off by flush dros/OESD,weak top pairs and a set of 5s.
2.You say UTG is a shover means he most likely has an Ax(yes ther is a chanse of AA but still any ATo is getting shoved here by him) maybe s set of 5s most likely no a dro hand but maybe he is a complete fish =). MP might be a good(rational as you say) player but he is short so he is also shoving/calling AJo+, twopairs like 56o, flush an street dro.
3.Geting to 1$ is basicaly nothing(will it really change your life that much?will it give you some good whigle room at 1/2c? most likely - no =) ) + you are looking at ~13K chips (~50bb/M-Number~28(and even the next round of blinds should not worry you that much)) this will get you further than 1$ and maybe will let you get to the FT.

Thk your analysis, asedu.
The part we can analysis means skill, the part we can't analysis means luck.
Reply again after you see the "turn",please.:D
 
Zeimar Silva

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Three of a kind. I think you should pay. You could triple the stack. Whoever has value is the dealer, utg2 is bluffing.
 
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chronical

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...Reply again after you see the "turn"...
well cmon... this is poker after all =)
I mean you can not always fold set or street just because there is a chanse of a suckout better hand on the river. This will leave you playing only quad aces on the flop ad that will not happen, after all, that often.
In addition this is a tourney if in cash you can give yourself some time and catch up in a mtt you can fall begind too bad and just push the timer waiting for someone to bust.
Any ways beter luck next time :D
 
niphon56

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This is "turn".
Four of a king, YA~
Lucky god stand by me, right !?
My best hand at the end of 2016.
 

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el_magiciann

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i wont ever fold a set of 6''s on these board to this flop... i think having alll of ur chips in at flop is the best scenario ever too :)
 
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Yeah the 666 is going to be hard to fold here.. Thank odds that it held up here. Lots of outs bring lots of chips
 
BentleyBoy

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You are going to break our hearts and show that the 8clubs come on the river and your chances of a dollar go floating away! Your all in shove was correct as you were more than likely way ahead.

Don't play to min cash..... play to win. Don't fold a winning hand. Can you live without winning a dollar? I guess you can.... so shove and give yourself a chance to win more.
 
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dejan85

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good playing you could be unlucky only if other player wait for flash row....
 
niphon56

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This is "river". 8 clubs
straight flush !
Lucky god still stand by me, but laughing ~ laughing ~ laughing ~
 

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