fold equity(EV)!

I

ivanbbb

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pokerstars Hand #164875316021: Tournament #1778193863, Freeroll Hold'em No Limit - Level I (20/40) - 2017/01/20 8:08:48 ET
Table '1778193863 29' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: wawaa1 (2500 in chips)
Seat 2: floringfi (2625 in chips)
Seat 3: St1morol (2540 in chips)
Seat 4: bolverk1369 (1670 in chips)
Seat 5: zhukowa (2420 in chips)
Seat 6: Emmanuel496 (2415 in chips)
Seat 7: 74_Gora (2500 in chips)
Seat 8: kolianu4 (2500 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 9: lewis99 (3310 in chips)
zhukowa: posts small blind 20
Emmanuel496: posts big blind 40
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to 74_Gora [9s Ts]
wawaa1 is disconnected
74_Gora: raises 40 to 80
kolianu4: folds
lewis99: calls 80
wawaa1 has timed out while disconnected
wawaa1: folds
wawaa1 is sitting out
floringfi: calls 80
St1morol: folds
bolverk1369: folds
zhukowa: folds
wawaa1 has returned
Emmanuel496: folds
*** FLOP *** [Qd 8h 2s]
74_Gora: bets 240
lewis99: calls 240
floringfi: folds
*** TURN *** [Qd 8h 2s] [8s]
74_Gora: bets 2180 and is all-in
lewis99: calls 2180
*** RIVER *** [Qd 8h 2s 8s] [Td]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
74_Gora: shows [9s Ts] (two pair, Tens and Eights)
lewis99: shows [Qh Ah] (two pair, Queens and Eights)
lewis99 collected 5140 from pot
74_Gora finished the tournament in 524th place
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 5140 | Rake 0
Board [Qd 8h 2s 8s Td]
Seat 1: wawaa1 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: floringfi folded on the Flop
Seat 3: St1morol folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: bolverk1369 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: zhukowa (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: Emmanuel496 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: 74_Gora showed [9s Ts] and lost with two pair, Tens and Eights
Seat 8: kolianu4 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: lewis99 showed [Qh Ah] and won (5140) with two pair, Queens and Eights

Fold equity is the additional chance to win! Consider the example of https://www.boomplayer.com/22364790_D028C593B9

immediately move on the turn! If someone is interested in how I played before the turn, please read my article! It was the beginning of the tournament, and to say exactly how many% he will fold, I could not! therefore I will take 50% of that of the 10 times it 5 times to send the card to pass! Pot=19,5bb! I all-in 54.5bb in sweat, with 13 of aut, is 26% to win!

EV= (0.50%*19,5bb)+(0,50%*-54,5bb)= -17.5bb

is expected in the case of my bluffs, I will lose 17.5 bb is a bad bluff!
after I sent bb 54.5 per cent of the table, the bank became 74bb is therefore 54.5 / 74 = 0.7365 = 73.65%. So the break-even point is 73.65% in this example! This means that if the opponent will throw in 73.65% of cases that our bluff will be positive! it will be profitable! It can be seen! The more pieces, we will put the more must throw off your opponent! so that we can earn!

but in this case the opponent refused to throw the ball in his hand! and it remains for us to hope that you want us to come out! Unfortunately this is not true!
But I'm glad I could show you an example of how this works!

Good luck at the tables you my friends!
 
ubo

ubo

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Friend is a little not clear why all of these topics, it was possible all in one formulate)))
 
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kozong

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bluffing the turn would be better when you check the flop imo

also, jamming 2k into 800 pot feels weird

but GL to you too buddy ;)
 
I

ivanbbb

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Friend is a little not clear why all of these topics, it was possible all in one formulate)))


A friend of mine! you will always be good questions! But they are so united in a common group EV! If you mean in the one big topic, the majority saw it would be frightened and would not have to study! It's like watching TV series, not the movie! The film which is a few days!))))
 
ubo

ubo

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A friend of mine! you will always be good questions! But they are so united in a common group EV! If you mean in the one big topic, the majority saw it would be frightened and would not have to study! It's like watching TV series, not the movie! The film which is a few days!))))

persuaded )))))));)
 
I

ivanbbb

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I wrote 5 of this section, the most valuable part of the first 3. Advances in the study.
 
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