M
Madsaac
Enthusiast
Silver Level
I've had a crack at an EV calc. Maths doesn't come easy to me as you can problably tell from my calculations. I'm trying to get my head around this EV thing but struggling a little so some advice would be greatly appreciated.
I have included a few scenarios to help grasp the best approach which obvioulsy will help to make the right play!
Blinds 300/600
Stacks
Villain - 14200
Hero - 18500
Cards
Villain - Top 20%
Hero - AQ
Position
Villain - (Mid)
Hero - (BB)
Villain raises top 20% of hands
Equity
Villain 42%
Hero 58%
Villain raises to 2000
1. POT SIZE RAISE
Villain will fold 50% of the time to a pot size raise
0.5(2300) + 0.5 [7400(0.6) – 7400(0.4)] = 2630
2. ALL IN
Villain folds 70% of the time to an all-in raise
0.7(2300) + 0.3[32700(0.6) – 32700(0.4)] = 3572
3. IF STACKS WERE BIGGER
0.9(2300) + 0.1[50000(0.6) – 50000(0.4) = 3070
When I was playing around with these calcs, I noticed that the return changes when the stack sizes change.
Is this the equilibrium that is talked about in “Kill Everyone”
I have included a few scenarios to help grasp the best approach which obvioulsy will help to make the right play!
Blinds 300/600
Stacks
Villain - 14200
Hero - 18500
Cards
Villain - Top 20%
Hero - AQ
Position
Villain - (Mid)
Hero - (BB)
Villain raises top 20% of hands
Equity
Villain 42%
Hero 58%
Villain raises to 2000
1. POT SIZE RAISE
Villain will fold 50% of the time to a pot size raise
0.5(2300) + 0.5 [7400(0.6) – 7400(0.4)] = 2630
2. ALL IN
Villain folds 70% of the time to an all-in raise
0.7(2300) + 0.3[32700(0.6) – 32700(0.4)] = 3572
3. IF STACKS WERE BIGGER
0.9(2300) + 0.1[50000(0.6) – 50000(0.4) = 3070
When I was playing around with these calcs, I noticed that the return changes when the stack sizes change.
Is this the equilibrium that is talked about in “Kill Everyone”