Originally Posted by mig2169
Can u tell in the first 30 how ur tourny is going to be? I feel like if iam hitting some flops with the hands i fold, i get a little loser, just wondering how people judge the first stages of a tourny?
I can't tell how my 'luck' is going to run by whether or not I am catching flops early, since I don't really believe in luck, just statistical anomalies which even out over time.
What I can tell after the first hour or so, is how I am playing, and how my opponents seated near me are playing, and from that I gauge whether the tourney is going to be a rough ride or not.
Maybe you are feeling the same thing, but calling it luck. I.e. if the table is passive, I open up a little more, and play a few starting hands I might not, since they are giving me a good price to make huge hands. If the table is aggressive, I usually tighten up, and pick my spots a little more carefully. A lot of players claim to be 'feel' players, but I think they use more math than they think.