Originally Posted by BlueNowhere
Tell me what you plan to do on these flops and you might realise yourself:
We are second to act, but if he checks I always shove. If he bets, I shove/call the first two and fold the third. Might call a very small bet on the third.
I'm guessing what you are getting at is that his range is KQ+ (or similar) so he has a lot of pockets in his range and he is always going to follow through with pockets even if he has JJ or lower since he basically pot committed himself on the reraise. So on that K flop he probably will shove JJ and lower pairs, which we beat.
That would probably be the standard analysis of the hand right? And based on that you don't fold and raising would be correct as you aren't ever folding and the added aggression could force a fold or at least get you in ahead. I just think maybe we can narrow the range further based on position and the villain's stats, and I would put him on AK, AQ, AJ, maybe AT, maybe KQ, AA-TT. In that narrow of a range an ace card is disaster and a K isn't too good either, so just calling to get a better feel for the hand might be okay. I would fold to an ace flop if the guy shoved it or even bet half pot, even though the standard range doesn't call for that. If the hero is running a HUD, he also has more info on how the villain plays flops which could be very helpful, as the guy appears to be a LP player, yet he is playing this in sort of a "I want to get the money in eventually" type manner.
It also depends on the tourney structure, # of people left, how many hands the villain has played (it could be only 10), if they are ITM, when the money is, and a whole host of other factors.