I
ivanbbb
Rock Star
Silver Level
Hello my friends! Continuing his thought about the EV!https://www.boomplayer.com/22364790_D028C593B9
Now we try to relate the material of my articles about the EV into one! we have 13 outs is 26% and we think that 50% of the fold! pot=19.5bb and we put 54.5bb!
We solve the problem!
look at a few options:
1.Opponent fold
2. I shove and win
3. I'm all-in and lose
Calculate the probability that the event will occur 3!
opponent does call in 50% of cases, and that his hand will be the best (100-26 = 74%) 74%
0.5% 0.74% * = 0.37 = 37%
The probability of the event is the outcome №2:
0.5%*0.26%=0.13=13%
option 1:
1-0.37-0.13=0.5=50%
Now recall the basic formula EV:
EV = (P (win) x Potential winnings) - (P (loss) x Potential loss)
in this case:
(P (win 1) x potential win 1) + (P (win 2) x potential win 2) - (P (loss 3) x 3 The potential loss) = EV.
EV= (0,5*19.5bb)+(0,13*74bb)-(0.37*54.5bb)=9,5+9,62-20.165=-1,045
1BB = 40 chips!
EV=40*1,045=41,8=42 chips
It turns out in the long run we lose 42 chips!
It can be concluded! If my bet pre-flop and on the flop would have been bigger! I would get a positive result! I stress once again:
1. Openreyz should be larger with deep stacks.
2. continuation bet should be larger with deep stacks.
Remember my dear friends! What if the stacks = more 60bb, rates should be more! Otherwise, your game will be negative in the long run!
Therefore stack size plays a key role in drawing hands!
successful game at the tables you my dear friends!
Now we try to relate the material of my articles about the EV into one! we have 13 outs is 26% and we think that 50% of the fold! pot=19.5bb and we put 54.5bb!
We solve the problem!
look at a few options:
1.Opponent fold
2. I shove and win
3. I'm all-in and lose
Calculate the probability that the event will occur 3!
opponent does call in 50% of cases, and that his hand will be the best (100-26 = 74%) 74%
0.5% 0.74% * = 0.37 = 37%
The probability of the event is the outcome №2:
0.5%*0.26%=0.13=13%
option 1:
1-0.37-0.13=0.5=50%
Now recall the basic formula EV:
EV = (P (win) x Potential winnings) - (P (loss) x Potential loss)
in this case:
(P (win 1) x potential win 1) + (P (win 2) x potential win 2) - (P (loss 3) x 3 The potential loss) = EV.
EV= (0,5*19.5bb)+(0,13*74bb)-(0.37*54.5bb)=9,5+9,62-20.165=-1,045
1BB = 40 chips!
EV=40*1,045=41,8=42 chips
It turns out in the long run we lose 42 chips!
It can be concluded! If my bet pre-flop and on the flop would have been bigger! I would get a positive result! I stress once again:
1. Openreyz should be larger with deep stacks.
2. continuation bet should be larger with deep stacks.
Remember my dear friends! What if the stacks = more 60bb, rates should be more! Otherwise, your game will be negative in the long run!
Therefore stack size plays a key role in drawing hands!
successful game at the tables you my dear friends!