Clarification on Pre-flop strategy article
I've been playing online poker pretty actively this past week. Been placing in freerolls
, while also playing low stakes on Bovada
Love the articles on cards chat. Reading the one on pre-flop concepts and I'm having trouble wrapping my mind around one concept:
In reference to raising AA ~ "Look here: 3 times out of 10, you will win 20 bets (the big blind + your raise), and 7 times out of 10, you will lose 2 bets (your raise). A win of 60 bets, and a loss of 14. That's a net win of 46 bets! That's HUGE!"
( Full article here: http://www.cardschat.com/preflop-concepts.php
Now, I understand the logic of raising AA, as it has aprox 30% chance of being a winning hand every time you get it (1-in-3 odds
) So 3 out of 10 and 7 out of 10 makes sense...
... what I don't understand is how on the 3/10ths of the time you win, you win 20 bets and on the 7 of 10, you only lose 2.
Does this have something to do with position? Seeing as he references the big blind...
Or does this have something to do with a "long-term" picture -- estimating that a good player will have so many "rounds" on the button, so many chances to play the AA, etc.
I'm really not sure. So, any clarification on the total win/lose of these bets would be very helpful. Thanks!