I'm half drunk, so take this with a grain of salt and all that.
AA hand early on I definitely valuebet that river. All types of one pair
hands are looking you up, and you can safely fold to a ch-r since nothing you beat does that basically. Made hands don't often ch-r the river. I don't think checking behind is weak, you're just missing some value.
2:50 QJ shortly after...egh tough spot. On a non-heart turn I probably CRAI but I think folding there is ok. Shoving the flop is an option too but I think readless it's a little spewy. Just a nasty spot.
4:00 AJ I 3bet and get it in against a shortstacked 92/17 fish. Really don't like flatting out of position.
Running 6 tables or whatever is really annoying for a video, even if it's temporary
When I say loosen up, opening the button more is exactly what I mean. 3 betting, squeezing and calling raises are all low-percentage plays in general (without a strong read) whereas blind stealing and isolating are the opposite. I can't stress stealing REALLY wide enough when you have remotely tight players in the blinds.
It'd be nice to post your stat layouts in the thread for each video. I know you listed them in the last video but I've since deleted that and am to lazy to re-download it :/
QTs hand at 12:00...I need aggression stats here
. If he's aggro, I check the turn to him again since most draws on the flop would have bet already, so I expect him to rarely if ever have a hand good enough to call a turn bet, whereas he'll bet his whole range if checked to. I also obv don't want to get raised off the best hand. If he's passive, bet-folding the turn's fine.
88 hand at 15:20 I don't hate the calldown, but I don't think he'll have complete air too often there. I might even just fold the flop and let him have it. I know we'll often have the best hand, but there are just too many bad cards to drop for us to call down.
Bottom left table I get up and sit to Dannykuh's left
n/m, he left...
I dunno about the overbet with 63 on the 4-straight board. The thing is they'll so often have two pair hands (or even one-pair hands in the case of the 30/6 fish) that they can't let go of.
QJ double barrel I like, but the sizing is a little too big. He's either on air (including gutshots like KQ/QJ) or he's got something he won't let go of (Ax/Tx). Big bets do nothing good against that range unless he's aggro enough to
bluff-raise the turn at the sight of weakness, which I don't even see often at 100nl and 200nl. Also if your opponent is observant, it balances our range nicely. With AK for example you want to bet small here to induce calls from weaker aces and gutshots, and save money vs Tx.
19:45 don't think I like the double barrel with 33. If he's bad enough to call the flop with a small pair (or FD), then he's rarely letting go of the turn. This guy's just bad, I like the flop raise, but just give up on the turn imo.
20:50 definitely call down the AK as played on the flop, which I like checking back too. He's bad enough to call with all types of unpaired junky hands, so most of the time he's drawing to 6 outs or fewer there. If my opponent is tighter I like betting the flop since he'll have lots more pairs in his range that may fold, and if not they probably fold to a double barrel.
22:25 I still 3bet AJ.
I fold 92o with a fishy-looking 20bb short stacker in the SB
like the J3 squeeze but it's a little light with the REALLY bad player in between.
J9o 3bet turned nasty on the all-diamond flop...for one I don't think 3betting is bad, but is something you should do more vs people who are more passive, and when you have position. 3betting oop is so dicey against 24/20s, which it looks like this guy probably is over a larger sample. They won't often fold pf (fold to 3bet stat ftw) and will shove and float tons of flops. I'm probably just check-folding there. If I get checked behind on, I'll probably check it down again, and if we see a brick river I might value bet tiny to eek value from TT-. One thing Stosh taught me which was a little surprising is that there's nothing wrong just giving up in a (light) 3bet pot. Think of it in terms of you having already 'took your shot' pf, and just give up. I think that's a prime spot to shut down.
As a very general point which I'm kind of reiterating from before, I think the key to playing a lag game successfully at the lower limits is playing a crazy-wide opening range on the button and to a lesser extent, the cutoff. 3betting light and squeezing just isn't necessary. It's definitely profitable, and will make other plays more profitable, but oop I like toning it down lots (without strong reads).
28:40 QQ against the huge fish...I bet-fold that turn. He'll have a ton of draws to call you with, as well as any pair basically. I probably bet-fold turn, then on a safe river I put out a small 1/2 pot value bet, and check behind the scare cards.
k I'm exhausted. You can send my 6 pack of stella as payment via fedex and I'll finish the rest tomorrow. Hope I made sense, I'm pretty beat.
