re: Poker & Am I +EV?
Originally Posted by Matthew Southall
Thanks, but like I said before, I'm not trying to determine my exact EV. All I want to know is whether my EV is greater than zero. It's a much more general question, so the sample size required should be much lower.
my post was designed as a rough idea to weather you are +ev or not. But you should have a rougher idea at like 5k hands.. that is if you want to look at hard data, you can also just ask yourself if you are +ev and if you have made money, and if so how much. so just count the number of hours you play, and how much you have made so you can work out very rough BB/100 winrates, if your winrate is really high, then you are likely on a massive heater or you are a winning player. You can go lower if you like, but the results will be more and more skewed depending on how your hands are holding up at the time. 1-2 bad beats could skew it drastically.
Just don't get down if you start losing a ton, it's likely just variance coming back to bite you in the ass. The thing most good players who turn themselves into bad players do is react too much when they are losing, and they start adjusting in bad ways to counter it. Just keep playing the same way as when you were winning, and let time decide if you need to make changes.