What I mean is that when you are running bad, the outters will hit with high frequency. And if you are betting hard, that means you lose your stack.
Case in point, a couple of recent FT hands. I had AK vs. a guy who turned out to have 85. I hit a K, he hit an 8. He comes over the top of my bet, I call. The river is a 5. I lose it all.
FT, I had QQ, the guy had A5. He hits a 5 plus a gutshot straight draw. All in. Hits runner runner flush.
Anyway, these may not be 2 outter bad beats, but when running bad, you are gonna lose a lot. Maybe it's the FT magic, but I've never had an extended (like a week) good run there. Elsewhere, I've had much better success. The frequency of underdogs catching outs tends to be closer to what they "should" be.
I didn't see what stakes you play at or if you play Full Ring or 6max.
This advice is most pertinent to 2nl full ring; BE ADVISED THAT THIS ADVICE IS A LITTLE ON THE GENERIC SIDE AND THERE ARE ALWAYS EXCEPTIONS TO EVERY RULE.
A nitty style can be successful in the micros if you are disciplined. The number one enemy the nit has is refusing to let go of overpairs and Top Pairs. This is usually because the nit develops a sense of entitlement thinking they should be rewarded for patiently folding 80%+ of the time. The cure for that is; Play nitty in EP but loosen up in late position and especially on the button. By having a very wide range in LP and a very tight range in EP you offer less implied
odds, get a chance to play more hands and make more money.
If you are playing 2nl I can give you the basics;
set your auto top up to on and always buy in for 100bb.
Opening hand range:
UTG, UTG+1: Any pocket pair, AK.AQ
MP: same as above plus AJ, KQ
LP: same as above plus any 2 Broadway, any suited Ace, K9s+ Q9s+ J9s+,suited connectors 65s+, suited gappers 86s+
Button: same as above plus any Ace and any two offsuit cards 8 or better.
If the pot is opened in front of you re-raise with AA KK QQ AK, flat call with AQs, AJs and all pps JJ-22. Fold weaker Aces and kings and suited connectors.
if you are re-raised and out of position shove with AA KK QQ fold everything else.
If a pot is raised and re-raised before the action gets to you fold everything but AA KK and shove these.
If you are on the button and an EP ior MP player open raises and no one calls you can add AK and KQs to the hands you flat with listed above.
If you are on the button and the blinds 3bet your open raise flat call AA KK QQ JJ AK, fold rest.
postflop:
c-betting; you want to c-bet almost every time except;
- you have a small pp or suited connectors and the flop has two or more broadways and you have no flush draw.
- you have two broadways and the flop is low and very wet like 9d8d6c and you don't have a flush draw. This includes having AK, no sense in betting you won't get a fold.
- remember any pocket pair below QQ is mainly played for set value so if you don't flop a set and your c-bet gets called do not fire another barrell on the turn.
the best flops to c-bet are an Ace or one Face card with two cards 9 or lower.
c-bet amt; dry boards 1/2 pot, wet boards 3/4 bet, strong made hand like
TPTK, an overpair or set on a wet board; pot sized bet.
what to do if re-raised on the flop;
- If you have an overpair or top pair top kicker or top 2 pair or a set on a dry board call unless it is a shove.
- If villain shoves on the at 2nl call with top 2, sets, AA and KK on non Ace flops. Sometimes
- If the board is wet do the same as above except if you have a set or a straight on a 4flush board, then shove.
- Fold all other hands on the flop to a re-raise.
- Do not try and get cute and re-raise with nut flush draws, you need fold equity to make this +EV and at 2nl you don't have much FE.
on the turn;
- if you still are likely to have best hand and the turn card is not likely to have completed opponent's draw bet 1/2 pot.
- if you pick up additional equity on the turn like a flush draw, OESD or pair bet 1/2 pot, never check here. You want value added to the pot when you complete your draw and will also get folds on the turn.
- If you are re-raised on the turn fold ALL single pair hands including AA.
- If you have an OESD or Flush draw on the flop and the turn is a brick fold to a large bet DO NOT CHASE DRAWS TO THE RIVER WITHOUT POT ODDS!!!!!!! This is how poker players go broke.
on the river.
- If you have the nuts on the river bet as big as you think opponent will call but at least 1/2 pot.
- Otherwise if you are unsure if your hand is best make a 1/3 to 1/2 pot bet on the river. You will get lots of folds and calls with worse hands. If you get re-raised here you should fold everything but the nuts or a set on a non straight/ flush board. This includes single pair hands, and any 2 pair hand that is not top 2.
- If opponent shoves on the river fold anything but nut flushes or straights and sets on a non-straight/flush board.
