I'm in the middle of one of life's curve balls and have been working on rebuilding my truck for the last month so not much poker but just like many of you I still think about it. This is a hypothetical situation but feel it could lead to some good input.
Lets say we have AA in early position in a STT (9man) with 6 left and 3 is ITM.
For me I don't want to shove here or overbet but instead raise good with hopes of getting a call or two. Lets say for example I open 3x and called by button and BB.
Flop comes nasty, either straight possible or flush possible such as TJK or all suited. I lead out with a c-bet and one of our callers shoves and the other folds in either order.
Should we just assume we have lost this hand or call the shove? Against two opponents we will win 70% of the time and just because we might be behind now after the flop our 70% could still come by the river. If we only have one caller preflop we will win 85% of the time which to me makes folding here even harder. Is this where discipline comes into play?
I tend to call most of the time in this kind of situation knowing most likely I'm behind and can't say for sure that any of the times I have it was a flop as bad as I have described here. I could be just hard headed but I feel with 70-85% odds
in favor pre I shouldn't let 60% of the board tell me to fold when I could still win. Especially when the end result is the same as if I had shoved pre and was called, which is always considered to be a +EV play.