$Freeroll NLHE MTT Turbo: Tricky river with 99, would you reraise there?

alienat3d

alienat3d

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Could you help me please to analyze that hand and point mistakes if you find?

888 Poker - 75/150 Ante 20 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 3,190 (VPIP: 22.58, PFR: 9.68, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 32)
UTG: 3,252 (VPIP: 27.50, PFR: 17.95, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 40)
UTG+1: 590
MP: 380
MP+1: 4,693
Hero (MP+2): 5,500
CO: 265
BTN: 265
SB: 340

9 players post ante of 20, SB posts SB 75, BB posts BB 150

Pre Flop: (pot: 405) Hero has 9<font color='black'>♠</font> 9<font color='black'>♣</font>

UTG calls 150, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 450, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 300

Flop: (1,305, 2 players) K<font color='red'>♥</font> 2<font color='red'>♥</font> 7<font color='red'>♦</font>
UTG checks, Hero bets 502, UTG calls 502

Turn: (2,309, 2 players) A<font color='black'>♠</font>
UTG bets 300, Hero calls 300

River: (2,909, 2 players) 9<font color='red'>♥</font>
UTG bets 450, Hero raises to 1,200, UTG raises to 1,980 and is all-in, Hero calls 780
 
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trent32la

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Preflop and flop are fine.

Turn call is iffy. I'm really not sure what to do here when he leads out that small, however calling can't be bad as we can bluffshove rivers if he shows weakness. I'm highly tempted to shove this turn though. Our opponent likely has a 1 pair hand, and we are almost never going to have worse than top pair with a good kicker when we jam. In a freeroll it's tougher though as players aren't thinking about what our range looks like.

I shove river. Going 1200 here just looks super strong and he's going to call the same range of hands to a shove. When he comes over the top you're probably beat, however in a freeroll, I think there's some frequency that we're up against a set/overplayed 2pr here. You played the hand fine.
 
alienat3d

alienat3d

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trent32la, thanks for another nice review ;)
 
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PHX

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Good analysis above by trent32la agree with points.
Against a good player you are beat on river almost always but that turn donk bet and river bet along with their sizing makes me want to think you can be ahead and our villain here is not good player.
 
mcgregor_415

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I wouldn't go with such a bet on the flop after you've got K and the flush draw. Also you did it, he calls, so probably he's got something and then you get another bad card. It's a total fold on the turn.
 
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16clumsyandshy

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I wouldn't go with such a bet on the flop after you've got K and the flush draw. Also you did it, he calls, so probably he's got something and then you get another bad card. It's a total fold on the turn.



I think there's still value to betting here because villain will call with flush draws. The tiny turn bet definitely feels like the player has Kx type hand and just wants to get a cheap showdown despite the A on the turn. It could also bet a flush draw, but if he donk bets turn with a flush draw he would have probably donk bet it on the flop.

Another thought is this: the ace is a good card for your range, not his. There are times when players will do this with a flopped set to induce a raise from you if the ace hit you. But the river play doesn't really match up with that line of thinking...
 
boomboxcafe23

boomboxcafe23

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Value bet and reraise to extract those extra chips. You had the correct equity value
 
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