B
bealpoker
Enthusiast
Silver Level
Before I start, I know gto will probably say this is a call, I am not just posting this to be results orientated. In the moment I tank called the river shove.
https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/9qkfHq4
This tournament had 600 registrations, 84 paid and were 60 left, pay jump was around 5/6 places.
Villian is 17/5 over 60 hands, he played a hand similar to this a couple orbits ago where he min raised pre and delayed cbet on the turn when he flopped top two pair.
I don't really see what raises pre delay cbets turn and shoves river as a bluff on this board, especially when the backdoor flush completes and we have the As we block some of the hands he would turn into a bluff like the A high flush.
I didn't think he has any bluffs in his range here but thought he might be value betting a worse hand such as AK KQ QJ (this is only 22 combos), apart from that there is not many hands I beat. I need to win here 35% to be profitable so he needs less than 40 combos of value bets what beat me where I can only find 24 so this should be a call given this,
However given how he played a couple orbits ago I feel this is an exploitative play and looking back at the hand(without being results orientated) I feel I should have folded!
What would you have done? Is this correct to fold?
Villian is 17/5 over 60 hands, he played a hand similar to this a couple orbits ago where he min raised pre and delayed cbet on the turn when he flopped top two pair.
I don't really see what raises pre delay cbets turn and shoves river as a bluff on this board, especially when the backdoor flush completes and we have the As we block some of the hands he would turn into a bluff like the A high flush.
I didn't think he has any bluffs in his range here but thought he might be value betting a worse hand such as AK KQ QJ (this is only 22 combos), apart from that there is not many hands I beat. I need to win here 35% to be profitable so he needs less than 40 combos of value bets what beat me where I can only find 24 so this should be a call given this,
However given how he played a couple orbits ago I feel this is an exploitative play and looking back at the hand(without being results orientated) I feel I should have folded!
What would you have done? Is this correct to fold?