$Freeroll NLHE MTT Rebuy: Was calling right here?

This was the first hand I played after being moved to the table so I had no stats or reads on this player I was just trying to make the right ev decision. after the hand I ran it through a odds calculator at the turn and it gave me 89.98% to win and 1.12% to tie against a random hand range. how would you have played it? the bubble already burst I was 49th out of 700 remaining and he was the effective stack.


poker stars Freeroll No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t50 - 9 players - http://www.handconverter.com/hands/2953051
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG: t3182 M = 2.36
UTG+1: t3308 M = 2.45
UTG+2: t11778 M = 8.72
MP1: t34423 M = 25.50
MP2: t15387 M = 11.40
Hero (CO): t50599 M = 37.48
BTN: t8384 M = 6.21
SB: t27155 M = 20.11
BB: t48656 M = 36.04

Pre Flop: (t1350) Hero is CO with Td 8d
5 folds, Hero calls t600, BTN calls t600, SB calls t300, BB checks

Flop: (t2850) Jc 7c Jd (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets t1881, BTN folds, SB raises to t3762, BB folds, Hero calls t1881

Turn: (t10374) 9h (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t6846, SB raises to t22743 all in, Hero calls t15897

River: (t55860) Ad (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: t55860
Hero shows Td 8d (a straight, Seven to Jack)
SB shows 9c Jh (a full house, Jacks full of Nines)
SB wins t55860

well played i think, just unlucky

Limping pre is bad here. You have a big stack and a good hand to open pre here with a 2-2.2x raise on the CO.

Check the flop, we're 4 ways with minimal equity. When your opponent clicks it back, it's time to fold. You're up against Jx here pretty much every time and you're calling to hit 3, maybe 4 outs.

Turn is an easy bet/call, your opponent has J8/J9/JT/QJ/KJ/77 and possibly some weak suited Jx here.

87shorts said:

I was just trying to make the right ev decision. after the hand I ran it through a odds calculator at the turn and it gave me 89.98% to win and 1.12% to tie against a random hand range.

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A random hand range is irrelevant when analyzing a hand like this. Villain's turn check/shoving range is narrowed to Jx and 77 and not even close to atc.

trent32la said:

A random hand range is irrelevant when analyzing a hand like this. Villain's turn check/shoving range is narrowed to Jx and 77 and not even close to atc.

Click to expand...

ya you're right. I figured for sure on the re-raise all in he had a jack but wasn't certain if he had jack 9 or jack 7 or if he only had trips. I should have folded now that I replayed it about 10 times lol. if I was right I would have been chip leader haha. but ya looking back on it that was the beginning of the end of that tournament for me. thanks for your input

Pre-flop: Tournament play, more so than cash games, rewards aggressive play. When you're the big stack, you should use it try and push the table around. They'll be scared of getting into pots with you, because they know that in any hand, you can end their (metaphorical) life. This is why T8 is a raise here. I'd make it about 1,400 to go here.
As played, the BTN, SB and BB all have very wide ranges here (except some off the top).


Flop: I really don't like betting this flop. Chances are, one of the other 3 players will have a hand that beats you and calls you. Check and hope to see a free card, but plan on folding to a bet. You don't want to chase the staright on a paired board in a multi-way pot. When you get raised, the SB is repping a Jx, and he often has it. It's certainly in his range. We want to fold here because the min-raise is super-strong.


Turn: I'm also betting about 6,600 here. We've made a straight and while we're sometimes beat, we can also get value from Jx that hasn't made a boat. When we get shoved on, we have to call. I think he can do this with JT+, 77, J7 and J9. MAybe he overvalues a couple of weaker Jx. This is a call, although I expect to be behind a fair chunk.


There you are. This hand is a perfect explanation for why we don't want to chase weak draws on paired boards in multi-way pots.