$Freeroll NLHE MTT: Raise TT UTG sees Blinds go crazy

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cgcook38

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Hi all,
I'm fairly certain this is straight forward for my hand. I am looking for perspective here.

There were 24 of 747 players remaining. These freerolls pay 10. Getting right down toward the money!

The last time I raised I was forced to show down an A2o steal attempt for a short stack. This was 3 hands later. I was playing VERY tight before that, but my sense was that my image had been washed away because of the steal attempt. No decent reads on anyone at the table.

Is this a spot where my image would lead me to go ahead and raise or call because SB might think I was stealing weak? Or do I fold?
Table and Position Review
Game started at: 2018/8/1 18:10:26Game ID: 1239332290 750/1500 $10 Freeroll - On Demand, Table 16 (Hold'em)Seat 9 is the button
Seat 1: holdemhof719 (34547).
Seat 2: Naruto777 (18818).
Seat 3: CgCook38 (95031).
Seat 4: Excomm (68535).
Seat 5: oldschol (29469).
Seat 7: Danieljr26 (107655).
Seat 8: lemetell (95451).
Seat 9: CarolinaNick (26020).
Player holdemhof719 ante (150)
Player Naruto777 ante (150)
Player CgCook38 ante (150)
Player Excomm ante (150)
Player oldschol ante (150)
Player Danieljr26 ante (150)
Player lemetell ante (150)
Player CarolinaNick ante (150)

*** Blinds ***
Player holdemhof719 has small blind (750)
Player Naruto777 has big blind (1500)

*** Preflop ***
Player CgCook38 received card: [ Tc: ]
Player CgCook38 received card: [ Td: ]
Player CgCook38 raises (3750)
Player Excomm folds
Player oldschol folds
Player Danieljr26 folds
Player lemetell folds
Player CarolinaNick folds
Player holdemhof719 raises (13200)
Player Naruto777 allin (17168)

Pot 37,588 (but likely 42,286 chips to be had once SB calls)
14,918 to call. There is no danger of a reraise as the all in from BB is not a full bet.
 
L

levidoff

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easy fold. holdemhof719 after your raise realized that the bb is a short stack. He was ready to close it. And after the allin of BB, you are already behind.
 
Luvepoker

Luvepoker

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I am not sure you are behind here but you could be. If we had a read on Holdemhof719 it would make it easier for sure. With out any read we know we are in a flip or most likely behind to his 3 bet. I am not to worried about the BB but i think I would go on the safe side here and fold. Your deep and have a lot of chips. You are both not deep enough to set mine here so that's not an option. If you call you may have to call an all in on many flops and that's not an option I would want to be in. You image may not be so good after getting caught but you are going to be against 2 players. The more I think about this i fold.
 
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cgcook38

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You image may not be so good after getting caught but you are going to be against 2 players. The more I think about this i fold.

I’ve been thinking this morning that my image may make even more obvious a fold. My reason is that, if I had a very tight image, hands I may see might be small or medium pockets looking to flip w someone’s AK air AQ, or AK or AQ looking to flip w exactly what I have, or hoping I fold 9s or 8s.

With a possible loose image, they may be moving on a wider range of hands that include QJs or KJo. Things that I’m flipping with.im way stronger than they expect, but that’s not really good here. Not for this many chips.
 
Matt Vaughan

Matt Vaughan

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The stack sizes here are NOT deep enough to justify a fold imo. Your image aside (since people aren't really paying as much attention as you think they are), this is a freeroll, you are 22bb deep with SB and like 12bb deep with BB.

Ask yourself, would SB just stuff it in here with aces? What about KK and QQ? I feel like at this stack depth he has plenty of stuff we are flipping with like AJ+ and KQ, as well as potentially 77-JJ waaaay more often than QQ+. Also the BB is so short we will see TONS of worse pairs and two overcards here. I don't think we can get away.

We're not close enough to the money to really worry about that, AND we cover them both by a ton.
 
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