$Freeroll NLHE MTT: AA vs river jam

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mediacalc

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poker stars Freeroll No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t15/t30 Blinds - 9 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: t1455 48.50 BBs
BTN: t4273 142.43 BBs
SB: t1480 49.33 BBs
BB: t1100 36.67 BBs
UTG: t1465 48.83 BBs
UTG+1: t1440 48 BBs
Hero (UTG+2): t1406 46.87 BBs
MP1: t1011 33.70 BBs
MP2: t1345 44.83 BBs

Pre Flop: (t45) Hero is UTG+2 with A A
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t75, Hero raises to t180, 6 folds, UTG+1 calls t105

Flop: (t405) 7 3 4 (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets t202, UTG+1 calls t202

Turn: (t809) 3 (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

River: (t809) 6 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets t1058 all in
 
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trent32la

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3bet larger pre, people are not going to be folding to 3bets this early, this deep, so you can make it 225 and extract more value.

Flop is good, why are we checking this turn? The 3 is a total blank card and we have an overpair, I would bet 300 on this turn.

River is gross. Villain is making a polarized shove and our range is pretty capped when we check the turn. This however is a freeroll, so perhaps we will see people spaz out on this river with 88+? On the other hand, our opponent can easily have 55,66,44,33,77,65 and it's hard to see what air hands he is check/calling the flop with. Personally I feel this is a sigh fold.
 
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mediacalc

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3bet larger pre, people are not going to be folding to 3bets this early, this deep, so you can make it 225 and extract more value.

Flop is good, why are we checking this turn? The 3 is a total blank card and we have an overpair, I would bet 300 on this turn.

River is gross. Villain is making a polarized shove and our range is pretty capped when we check the turn. This however is a freeroll, so perhaps we will see people spaz out on this river with 88+? On the other hand, our opponent can easily have 55,66,44,33,77,65 and it's hard to see what air hands he is check/calling the flop with. Personally I feel this is a sigh fold.

I checked turn because I thought I was beat already. I felt like that board hits his 3b call range so damn well with all those middling pocket pairs. I know this is a poor way of thinking but imo if I had bet turn and he jams then, what do I do?
 
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trent32la

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I checked turn because I thought I was beat already. I felt like that board hits his 3b call range so damn well with all those middling pocket pairs. I know this is a poor way of thinking but imo if I had bet turn and he jams then, what do I do?
If you bet the turn and he jams, it's an easy call. A 7343 board is not going to nail his r/c range pre so much that your AA is in jeopardy here. The 3 is in fact the best turn card in the deck for you, and most likely his hand since it's not a scare card.

If your opponent's range on this turn is 33/44/55/66/77/88/99, which I assume your opponent will x/jam, you have 71% equity against that range on the turn.
 
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chng1t

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1. Your raise size should be bigger as today people call 3bets very wide to. You also want opponents to fold to your 3bet bluffs
2. Why do you check the turn? there are almost no small cards in opponents range unless some pairs and he will muck them to a bigger raise. You should bet the turn with at least 2/3 of the pot. Not to give your opponent free river and protect your hands equity vs draws.
3. If you bet the turn and get check/raised, then villain probably has a set or 2 pair. In this case you should fold. GL
 
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PHX

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Definitely should have bet the turn.
You have to call the river and hope for the best. Your loosing to a descent amount of his range but not enough to fold AA.
 
Andrey Smirnov

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After check turn more likely to fold river.
 
Gabinho12345

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Why did you check the turn? If you checked the turn to induce a bluff you should be calling on the river.
 
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16clumsyandshy

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Calling your 3b he could have 88-JJ and think he's trapping you. More combos of those than the 33-77. Also his two pair are worse than yours. I wouldn't be surprised if he showed up with something bad like A5 for the rivered straight. Huge shoves like that are generally the nuts. But with no read, just play the hand straightforward and bet turn unless you're trying to induce a river shove.
 
mcgregor_415

mcgregor_415

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A bet on the turn is the correct play. The V saw an opening and use it in the river. 55 maybe is the most logical card that he could hold, but as stated above - it's a freeroll and an early stage of it, so everything is possible, even 56s for a guy, who got something else to do and would like to finish early his game.
 
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