$7.5 NLHE MTT: Tough spot, shove or fold?

GotaLovePoke

GotaLovePoke

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Oct 30, 2008
Total posts
247
Chips
0
I won't influence your decision, i'll explain my thinking later in reply. We are in the money, small pay jumps for a while, middle stacked.

pokerstars - 600/1200 Ante 150 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

Hero (BB): 23.6 BB
UTG: 17.87 BB (VPIP: 19.51, PFR: 10.26, 3Bet Preflop: 7.50, hands: 82)
UTG+1: 7.22 BB (VPIP: 10.53, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
MP: 55.2 BB (VPIP: 15.75, PFR: 12.93, 3Bet Preflop: 8.16, Hands: 127)
MP+1: 39.61 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
CO: 32.95 BB (VPIP: 18.48, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 8.82, Hands: 94)
BTN: 14.68 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 36)
SB: 19.59 BB (VPIP: 13.04, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)

8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has 2c 2s
fold, fold, MP raises to 2 BB, fold, CO calls 2 BB, BTN calls 2 BB, fold, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop : (9.5 BB, 4 players) 3s 5h As
Hero checks, MP checks, CO bets 8 BB, fold, Hero ??????
 
T

trent32la

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Jun 12, 2013
Total posts
2,852
Awards
1
Chips
0
Snap fold. We likely have just 6 outs (25% equity) here and no fold equity on a jam. We need ~41% equity to jam here profitably assuming or opponent always bet/calls and MP always folds.
 
GotaLovePoke

GotaLovePoke

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Oct 30, 2008
Total posts
247
Chips
0
I'm assuming opponent folds alot of hands there...

Why do you think that I have no fold equity?
 
T

trent32la

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Jun 12, 2013
Total posts
2,852
Awards
1
Chips
0
I'm assuming opponent folds alot of hands there...

Why do you think that I have no fold equity?
U really think he's betting 80% pot into 4 people and then folding to a raise? I'd rule out any hand that is complete air or 66-TT here and the vast majority of people aren't good enough to fold top pair here to a re-raise.
 
GotaLovePoke

GotaLovePoke

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Oct 30, 2008
Total posts
247
Chips
0
Fair enough, should've taken the field into consideration. I usually play ~40$ buy ins on p-stars.
 
Folding in Poker
Top