$5 NLHE STT Turbo: $1 for each KO

pcgnome

pcgnome

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There's a $1 cash reward for each knockout. This one is a monster. All the sudden an over-pair becomes a drawing hand.
78065342-14 - Knockout - $5.50 (78063051-1)
Holdem Tournament No Limit Holdem Tournament
Friday 25 Jul 2014 3:18:17 PM
1: cardjunky66
2: fumiko50
3: 8NAVY8
4: pcgnome99 (Dealer)
5: BraNDpUa
6: looseStowie
7: 76Amazing77
8: aceshallelujah
*** BLINDS ***
BraNDpUa Posts Small Blind 25.00
looseStowie Posts Big Blind 50.00
*** PREFLOP ***
pcgnome99 Hole Cards: Qs,Qc
76Amazing77 Folds
aceshallelujah Folds
cardjunky66 Folds
fumiko50 Folds
8NAVY8 Calls 50.00
pcgnome99 Raises 150.00
BraNDpUa Calls 125.00
looseStowie Calls 100.00
8NAVY8 Calls 100.00
*** POSTFLOP ***
Community Cards: 9c,Ts,Jd
BraNDpUa went All In 2205.00
looseStowie went All In 1155.00
8NAVY8 went All In 1825.00
I am the chip leader with about 2800 chips.
What do you do now, and tell me why.
 
rdm4k

rdm4k

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stacks are missing. It's very important to know the stacks here.

Btw without these data I'd make bigger preflop to reduce ppls odds to call and obv isolate the limper.
As played pre I would probably fold even though the drawing hand.
This is a tough spot for me, there is lots of added value because of the bounties no I guess the % are higher.

The best way to clarify this spot is to apply some math. If anybody is cabable I'd love to see some.

With this action I figure out we already playing vs 2 pairs or vs set or vs a straight; ands that are in Villains range. 4way, 3 allins we are rarely ahead BUT we have got outs...mmmhhh

this is really close...


ps: I said I'd fold but I am not sure about that, this is so rare I guess that, being CL, vs 3 allins, with decent out to the nutz I can choose the CALL BUTTON instead.
 
pcgnome

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Stacks are that matter are already there 'cuz their all-in, and the blinds are still small. You only have seconds to react, since this is on-line.
 
danprince10

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make it bigger pre, easy fold on flop, someone's got 2 pair minimum, I'd be honestly surprised if none of them had a set or already had a straight.
 
H

hffjd2000

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I surely fold here.

The maximum reward youll get is a split.
 
pcgnome

pcgnome

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Yeah 3 guys all in after the flop scared the crap out of me, and there was a set of 9's and 2 pair out there. The turn was an 8, and the river was an 8 as well. Sure.. easy fold. There were way too many outs for the villains. What a crazy hand.
However, I was able to recover and get two more KO's after the 1st one that I got at the very beginning of the session, and I finished out in 2nd place for like $13 and some change. :)
 
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rdm4k

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Nobody capable to make some math^?
I am not, sry-

I said I'd FOLD straight away BUT more I look at it and more it looks like a (close) call cos of the 3 bounties of added value.

@op stack are always fundamental, even to see the preflop action ;)
 
pcgnome

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Using an equity calculator (propokertools) I have 41.72%
I am betting 2205 to win 5185 2205/5185 = .425
I am betting .425 against .4175 equity, or I need at least .425 equity but I'm only getting .4175
So I would be at a slight disadvantage, and folding would be okay.
 
Last edited:
pcgnome

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This is assuming that all 3 of them are pushing in with 20% of all of the possible hands out there. QQ has an equity of 38% in this situation when you guess that all of their shoving ranges are at 15%, but I think that it is still even less than that.
 
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WiZZiM

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pretty clear fold here, our outs are sometimes dirty here too.
 
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