$5.50 NLHE MTT Deep Stacked: 16 bbs with 99 on MP+1, raise/call, jam or raise/fold?

$5.50 NLHE MTT Deep Stacked: 16 bbs with 99 on MP+1, raise/call, jam or raise/fold?

This was at the later stage of the tournament. 900 players left. I got into this tournament by a satellite. Rewatching the hand again I think Raise/call would be a better choice with an ocasional raise/fold on some situations. But maybe I'm being results-oriented. Thoughts?

pokerstars, $4.90 + $0.60 - Hold'em No Limit - 8,000/16,000 (1,600 ante) - 9 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

MiúdoMaravilha (UTG): 292,239 (18 bb)
RocketRn777 (UTG+1): 236,974 (15 bb)
Kakaio (MP): 959,056 (60 bb)
tewwa94 (MP+1): 255,798 (16 bb)
tchozen666 (LP): 535,828 (33 bb)
sashkaa034 (CO): 105,458 (7 bb)
Samuca CWB (BU): 310,862 (19 bb)
okipoki222 (SB): 90,394 (6 bb)
InserCoin (BB): 505,977 (32 bb)

Pre-Flop: (38,400) Hero (tewwa94) is MP+1 with 9♦ 9♥
3 players fold, tewwa94 (MP+1) raises to 254,198 (all-in), 2 players fold, Samuca CWB (BU) 3-bets to 309,262 (all-in), 2 players fold

Flop: (546,796) Q♦ 7♠ 2♠ (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (546,796) A♠ (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (546,796) 3♠ (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: 546,796

Showdown:
Samuca CWB (BU) shows A♦ K♣ (a pair of Aces)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 45%, Flop: 26%, Turn: 95%, River: 100%)

tewwa94 (MP+1) shows 9♦ 9♥ (a pair of Nines)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 55%, Flop: 74%, Turn: 5%, River: 0%)

Samuca CWB (BU) wins 546,796

You were almost entering a critic situation less than 15 BB's so i can't blame your shove, but it if you did a raise and he payed up, you really could scare him away semi-bluffing that DRAW and jam again on the turn, but still it's hard to analyse all-in pre-flop depends on the situation.

This situation is the verge between EV and ICM. For EV you must raise. For ICM you must push. It is your choice

good game

nh wp gg

Well that decision depends also on table dynamic. 16 bb just around the push or raise, you’ve made your choice and we can’t say it’s wrong. Just didn’t work out this time. Gg

I don't think you played the hand wrong. With 99 on 16BB I think the shove is ok. Best of luck