$5.50 NLHE MTT Deep Stacked: should i have tried to bluff here???

wildyetty

wildyetty

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partypoker - 300/600 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

CO: 68.12 BB (VPIP: 23.33, PFR: 6.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 30)
BTN: 70.68 BB (VPIP: 24.00, PFR: 4.00, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 25)
SB: 49.56 BB (VPIP: 13.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
BB: 49.92 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
UTG: 194.04 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 6.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
UTG+1: 42.75 BB (VPIP: 4.81, PFR: 2.97, 3Bet Preflop: 2.94, Hands: 105)
Hero (MP): 48.93 BB
MP+1: 35.74 BB (VPIP: 36.36, PFR: 8.26, 3Bet Preflop: 2.86, Hands: 113)
MP+2: 67.78 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)

9 players post ante of 0.08 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.25 BB) Hero has Qs Qh
fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 1.8 BB, fold

Flop : (6.35 BB, 2 players) Th 9s Ts
SB checks, Hero bets 2.5 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB

Turn : (11.35 BB, 2 players) 5c
SB checks, Hero checks

River : (11.35 BB, 2 players) 9d
SB bets 2 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

SB shows Kc Kd (Two Pair, Kings and Tens)
(Pre 81%, Flop 86%, Turn 95%)

Hero mucks Qs Qh (Two Pair, Queens and Tens)
(Pre 19%, Flop 14%, Turn 5%)

SB wins 15.35 BB
 
DuffMcGruff

DuffMcGruff

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I don't like a bluff in this spot, a board like that you are either way ahead or way behind. You have some showdown value so a small value bet or a check behind are both plays I wouldn't mind. Be careful betting in that spot because you will have to fold to a reraise.
 
T

trent32la

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Never bluffing here, you have SDV facing a small bet and by raising you get all better hands to call and all worse hands to fold, easy flat call.
 
daredeviljo

daredeviljo

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Hi, WildYetty!!!

Here is my opinion (however, I am a losing player, so believe what you will): I do not like a bluff either. He does not have KK or AA very often, as he will often 3-Bet (if he 3-Bet he would have gotten more value). You have showdown value of course. I think that the opponent has a 9 or a 10 more often than he has KK or AA, therefore, bluffing is a mistake.
 
D

Dwarf

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I think you got lucky, only losing 7bb to a sick cooler hand. Villains vpip looks really tight, odds of him having a 10 are low when he calls your flop bet he probably has a good hand. Like trent32la says, with the way pot was played I'd be happy to showdown queens guessing hes on ace high. Now that you know he wont 3bet you with kings - I'd be opening a little looser on him.
 
naruto_miu

naruto_miu

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Why are you asking to bluff on river? I mean we know the guy has KK (Plz next time you decide to post a hand), post It without the "River hand showing" (For villain), thus the answers wont be swayed by the "Outcome of the hand", but seriously theirs no value to be had by "Bluffing this river" as Trent stated "All better hands call and all worse fold".

Seriously though, even If you're attempting to "Bluff river", all draws missed by river 8/J/Q/7/6, all flush cards didn't hit by river, so the only "Legit hands you'd be repping are 10x/9x/Quads/AA/5s", so basically a small (Fraction of hands), I mean A10s/Q10s//10Js/A10o/Q10o/J10o/J9s/J9o and 10s/AA/5s/9s basically that's all the hands you can rep. So that's a very small over-all range of hands you can honestly "Try to sell" on such a board that's so dry that It would be near Impossible to have hit It (Unless you really hit It), and that's why this "River RRAI/RR" (Line wouldn't be working), IMO.
 
mbrenneman0

mbrenneman0

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please dont show results when posting hand histories. the results are irrelevant and we cant give you the best advice when we are biased by seeing the results. atleast wrap the results in spoiler tags.

trents advice is very good though
 
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