$5.5 NLHE MTT: turn capped range facing overbet from rec player

888Poker, $5 + $0.50 - Hold'em No Limit - 60/120 (12 ante) - 9 players
Hand delivered by CardsChat

UTG (Hero): 4,482 (37 bb)
UTG+1: 5,284 (44 bb)
MP: 7,740 (65 bb)
MP+1: 5,059 (42 bb)
LP: 960 (8 bb)
CO: 4,824 (40 bb)
BU: 10,168 (85 bb)
SB: 4,805 (40 bb)
BB: 14,714 (123 bb)

Pre-Flop: (288) Hero is UTG with Q♥ A♣
Hero raises to 270, 4 players fold, CO calls 270, BTN calls 270, 2 players fold

Flop: (1,098) 5♠ 3♠ K♦ (3 players)
Hero bets 333, CO calls 333, BU folds

Turn: (1,764) Q♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets 4,209 (all-in), Hero ?

CO VPIP/PFR/3Bet stats is 20/4/9.4 over 82 hands.

Postflop aggression looks high in several hands played however bet size seems off. Limped 99 from UTG and used small/tiny bets across 3 three streets on T high board 3 ways.

How would you play?

quant1986 said:

888Poker, $5 + $0.50 - Hold'em No Limit - 60/120 (12 ante) - 9 players
Hand delivered by CardsChat

UTG (Hero): 4,482 (37 bb)
UTG+1: 5,284 (44 bb)
MP: 7,740 (65 bb)
MP+1: 5,059 (42 bb)
LP: 960 (8 bb)
CO: 4,824 (40 bb)
BU: 10,168 (85 bb)
SB: 4,805 (40 bb)
BB: 14,714 (123 bb)

Pre-Flop: (288) Hero is UTG with Q♥ A♣
Hero raises to 270, 4 players fold, CO calls 270, BTN calls 270, 2 players fold

Flop: (1,098) 5♠ 3♠ K♦ (3 players)
Hero bets 333, CO calls 333, BU folds

Turn: (1,764) Q♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets 4,209 (all-in), Hero ?

CO VPIP/PFR/3Bet stats is 20/4/9.4 over 82 hands.

Postflop aggression looks high in several hands played however bet size seems off. Limped 99 from UTG and used small/tiny bets across 3 three streets on T high board 3 ways.

How would you play?

Click to expand...

Thank you for your post. I like the pre flop raise and the cbet. Unfortunately when he jams the turn you just don't have enough equity to call. I would wait until I had a more dominant position before id call a jam. He may have it or he may be bluffing a hand with outs such as J,10s or A,10s. Regardless hero only has 2nd pair top kicker. Not worth the risk at this stage in the tournament. Good luck.


Good Luck To All

I would fold here. A player who's 20/4 is likely to be passive even over a limited sample and some previous postflop aggression.

His range is probably capped in the sense that it's unlikely he'd flat with KK pre-flop, but he could have a lot of top pair or better hands here. On a very coordinated board like this, with two flush draws, people will overbet shove more often for protection. The rest of the time he likely has a strong draw which still has decent equity against us.

Preflop
Standard open, size looks fine as well.

Flop
With nothing going on here other than just one overcard I am checking this hand out of position against two opponents. You are giving yourself a good price, but even so its not likely to get through often enough, and even if they float you with worse, you will typically end up getting bluffed out of the pot later.

Turn
I think this is a fairly easy fold. He is probably panicking about all the draws and jamming his KQ or his set "for protection".

Hello, I agree mostly with guys. Pre flop raise is standard. On the flop I probably never play cbet versus two players. It is very possible that one of them caught top pair and we haven't enough equity to win this hand. Only ace on the turn or on the river help us in this situation. So on the flop I prefer check and I want to see what opponents will do. If one of them bet the flop I always fold our hand, sometimes opponents will play check on the flop, when opponents check on the flop with you for me it means that they haven't top pair and when on turn we hit second pair I usually play bet for value with this pair. As played - on the turn easy fold, because opponent show us a strenght.