$4 NLHE MTT: Pocket Pair on a paired board as the rasier

A

awesome

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 35/19/2.9

This is the FT with 7 spots paid. I am 4th in chips.

The villain is loose pre and aggressive post flop with an aggression factor of 2.9.

Hero minraises TT from the Lojack.

Here's the preflop action, flop, and flop action.

$200 GTD Turbo, Table 2 (Hold'em)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: thoughtdreams (51791).
Seat 2: FortunaFTB (21915).
Seat 3: HERO (39652).
Seat 4: VILLAIN (41836).
Seat 5: BluffPRO94 (30027).
Seat 6: LittleNan1313 (41544).
Seat 7: xeaku (22346).
Seat 8: NutsBluffer (15535).
Seat 9: NobluffNocash (30354).
Player xeaku ante (150)
Player NutsBluffer ante (150)
Player NobluffNocash ante (150)
Player thoughtdreams ante (150)
Player FortunaFTB ante (150)
Player HERO ante (150)
Player VILLAIN ante (150)
Player BluffPRO94 ante (150)
Player LittleNan1313 ante (150)
Player xeaku has small blind (750)
Player NutsBluffer has big blind (1500)
Player HERO received card: [10d]
Player HERO received card: [10s]
Player NobluffNocash folds
Player thoughtdreams folds
Player FortunaFTB folds
Player HERO raises (3000)
Player VILLAIN calls (3000)
Player BluffPRO94 folds
Player LittleNan1313 folds
Player xeaku folds
Player NutsBluffer calls (1500)
*** FLOP ***: [Jc 7h Jd]
Player NutsBluffer checks
Player HERO checks
Player VILLAIN bets (3700)
Player NutsBluffer folds

I am definitely calling at least one street with this hand on this board and dependent on certain run outs.

Any views?
 
A

awesome

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We get a blank on the turn and V is still firing small

Player HERO calls (3700)
*** TURN ***: [Jc 7h Jd] [4d]
Player HERO checks
Player VILLAIN bets (6167)
 
T

trent32la

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Call, V can very well have Jx here, however I think he also uses this sizing with low/mid PPs for protection from overcards and looking to get to showdown cheaply.
 
A

awesome

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another blank and another small bet on the turn.

triple barrel frequencies are low at the micros but this is an abnormal size on the river and a more aggressive player than the norm.

This is most likely a crying call on the river but I don't like it.

Player HERO calls (6167)
*** RIVER ***: [Jc 7h Jd 4d] [3s]
Player HERO checks
Player VILLAIN bets (10278)
 
xkenjix

xkenjix

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i would bet flop, x/c turn river
 
A

awesome

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I called the river.

Player HERO calls (6167)
*** RIVER ***: [Jc 7h Jd 4d] [3s]
Player HERO checks
Player VILLAIN bets (10278)
Player HERO calls (10278)
Player HERO mucks cards
------ Summary ------
Pot: 51390
Board: [Jc 7h Jd 4d 3s]
Player thoughtdreams does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Player FortunaFTB does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Player HERO mucks (does not show: [10d 10s]). Bets: 23295. Collects: 0. Loses: 23295.
*Player VILLAIN shows: Three Of Kind of Js [Jh Kh]. Bets: 23295. Collects: 51390. Wins: 28095.
Player BluffPRO94 does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Player LittleNan1313 does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Player xeaku does not show cards.Bets: 900. Collects: 0. Loses: 900.
Player NutsBluffer does not show cards.Bets: 3150. Collects: 0. Loses: 3150.
Player NobluffNocash does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Game ended at: 2017/5/3 15:3:16

I'm changing my handle to calling station.
 
No1eJoker

No1eJoker

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I called the river.

Player HERO calls (6167)
*** RIVER ***: [Jc 7h Jd 4d] 3♠
Player HERO checks
Player VILLAIN bets (10278)
Player HERO calls (10278)
Player HERO mucks cards
------ Summary ------
Pot: 51390
Board: [Jc 7h Jd 4d 3s]
Player thoughtdreams does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Player FortunaFTB does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Player HERO mucks (does not show: [10d 10s]). Bets: 23295. Collects: 0. Loses: 23295.
*Player VILLAIN shows: Three Of Kind of Js [Jh Kh]. Bets: 23295. Collects: 51390. Wins: 28095.
Player BluffPRO94 does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Player LittleNan1313 does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Player xeaku does not show cards.Bets: 900. Collects: 0. Loses: 900.
Player NutsBluffer does not show cards.Bets: 3150. Collects: 0. Loses: 3150.
Player NobluffNocash does not show cards.Bets: 150. Collects: 0. Loses: 150.
Game ended at: 2017/5/3 15:3:16

I'm changing my handle to calling station.

You had to know that he has J, I would fold on flop.
 
M

marnburger

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What's their normal bet sizing? Are they always playing small ball?
Have you seen them bluff 3 streets before?
Think I'd need to have a yes to both of these to call that river.

It looks like value bets all the way and not sure there are many hands that bet for value on all streets that you beat, 88, 99, maybe 87s and 76s? But I think these would bet larger for protection on the flop, unless they are always playing small ball. The super dry board leans towards smaller value bets as there's no draws that can call and barely any hands that would call all three streets. I'd expect a bluff or semi-bluff to bet bigger on earlier streets.

River bet was like 40% of your stack right?
 
C

Caissa

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This is a tough one. I favor leading out or check/raising. He can't really call with out at least some piece of the board. If he shows any strength you've narrowed his range down quite a bit and you most likely wont' have to take it all the way to the river.
 
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