$4.40 NLHE MTT: BB Squeeze with KJ Profitable or Not

C

Chrispee

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I'm new to analyzing my all in equities. can someone double check my work.

I squeezed KJo from the BB with 35 BB and wanted to see if was a profitable shove. I plugged the hand into ICMIZER and it told me that it was profitable +0.05 based on their assigned ranges. So am i to read this as profitable, even though its very small?

Appreciate any other insight.


pokerstars, $3.92 + $0.48 - Hold'em No Limit - 2,000/4,000 (315 ante) - 8 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: 160,265 (40 bb)
UTG+1: 160,393 (40 bb)
MP: 228,477 (57 bb)
MP+1: 95,620 (24 bb)
CO: 69,771 (17 bb)
BU: 124,979 (31 bb)
SB: 311,291 (78 bb)
BB (Hero): 140,604 (35 bb)

Pre-Flop: (8,520) Hero is BB with K J
UTG raises to 8,000, 1 fold, MP calls 8,000, 4 players fold, Hero 3-bets to 140,289 (all-in), UTG 4-bets to 159,950 (all-in), MP calls 151,950
 
omnom8

omnom8

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no its not. i dont know what ranges were in icmizer but its strange for me.
you will be dominated mostly times after call.

3bet n fold to 4bet. if you want to squeeze but KJ bad hand to do it to UTG range vs unnown.
 
Flight777sem

Flight777sem

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Just defense your BB with a descent hand as KJ , you don’t need to show 35BB.
 
D

dgroes

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I'm new to analyzing my all in equities. can someone double check my work.

I squeezed KJo from the BB with 35 BB and wanted to see if was a profitable shove. I plugged the hand into ICMIZER and it told me that it was profitable +0.05 based on their assigned ranges. So am i to read this as profitable, even though its very small?

Appreciate any other insight.


PokerStars, $3.92 + $0.48 - Hold'em No Limit - 2,000/4,000 (315 ante) - 8 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: 160,265 (40 bb)
UTG+1: 160,393 (40 bb)
MP: 228,477 (57 bb)
MP+1: 95,620 (24 bb)
CO: 69,771 (17 bb)
BU: 124,979 (31 bb)
SB: 311,291 (78 bb)
BB (Hero): 140,604 (35 bb)

Pre-Flop: (8,520) Hero is BB with K J
UTG raises to 8,000, 1 fold, MP calls 8,000, 4 players fold, Hero 3-bets to 140,289 (all-in), UTG 4-bets to 159,950 (all-in), MP calls 151,950

What did MP have? I put MP at least on QQ or Ace+Face& or suited if he´s tight...
 
F

fundiver199

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I think, this is a fairly obvious spot to just call and then proceed with caution. KJ is in pretty bad shape against a UTG open range, so the only reason, you even want to continue in the hand, is because you get such a good price. 3-betting is a massive overplay.
 
Q

QA77

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The best play here would be to call. 3betting would be the next best move imo. Doesn’t seem worth shoving when you have over 30bbs.
 
D

dompoker

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I think it's not a good decision, KJ is a very weak hand, maybe AK or AQ be better options.
 
Rahatis

Rahatis

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All in is the move. Make us proud with your KJ everytime!
 
N

nameless1537

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Have a question though. equity-wise, 3-betting doesn’t sound like the right play (according to most of you) but if you identify the UTG as playing a bit on the loose side, would this be a good time to bluff with the squeeze play? Or would he need more chips (relative to UTG) to pull this off? Are there other conditions that you’d need to see for a move like this to work?
 
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Veritas

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Have a question though. Equity-wise, 3-betting doesn’t sound like the right play (according to most of you) but if you identify the UTG as playing a bit on the loose side, would this be a good time to bluff with the squeeze play? Or would he need more chips (relative to UTG) to pull this off? Are there other conditions that you’d need to see for a move like this to work?
3betting is still better than shoving 35bb into a pot of ~6bb
calling seems to be the best Option though. we are getting a good Price to see a cheap

I squeezed KJo from the BB with 35 BB and wanted to see if was a profitable shove. I plugged the hand into ICMIZER and it told me that it was profitable +0.05 based on their assigned ranges. So am i to read this as profitable, even though its very small?

stacks are too Deep and KJo is too weak to make this profitable.
which ranges did you put on UTG and MP??
 
K

kkonicke

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I agree with the other posters, this is an easy call spot. Folding is not great, but a better play than jamming. This would be a better play if cutoff or button raised and SB called, but UTG raise is generally going to be a pretty strong range. I still generally don't like a jam, you could 3bet to 30-35k instead of jamming so deep and accomplish the same thing while having an opportunity to fold to premium hands.
 
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