$3 NLHE STT: Top pair facing 3-bet on flop

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AlexTheOwl

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iPoker - 15/30 NL - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 103.33 BB (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 36.36, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 11)
Hero (BB): 49 BB
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 54.55, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
MP: 48 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
CO: 61.67 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
BTN: 88 BB (VPIP: 81.82, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♠K♠

fold, MP calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero checks

Flop: (2.5 BB, 2 players) 2♦9♦8♥
Hero bets 2.5 BB, MP raises to 5 BB, Hero ?

$3.00 9-handed Triple Up on ignition / Bovada / bodog / Bodog88. Top three finishers win $9.00 each.
 
A

AviCKter

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Gawd! Blind levels' still at 15/30 and 3 players managed to bust themselves out. Just unbelievable!

As far as the hand goes, call the flop raise. Check/call any turn and evaluate the river.
 
T

TryTo

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Call and see the turn. Villain may have flushdraw, straightdraw, Q9. On turn without 9 and K check-fold if he bets much(>1/2 pot). Especially if any draw closes.
 
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AlexTheOwl

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Gawd! Blind levels' still at 15/30 and 3 players managed to bust themselves out.

Yes, and two eliminations were suckouts by the fish with VPIPs over 40. I love it when the fish win, as long as it's not my chips that they are taking.

I'll wait to reveal what I did until I see if there are other comments.
 
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No1eJoker

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Call call call, see and see turn, I think that you strongest..
 
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AlexTheOwl

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Reasons to call:

- I have top pair.

- I'm getting good pot odds. 10BB in pot, 2.5 BB to me to call, so 10 : 2.5 = 3:1.

- There are straight and flush draws on the board, so this could be a semi-bluff.

Reasons to fold:

- The sample size is only 11 hands, but so far this player has shown no aggression. This increases the chance he has a made hand and is betting for protection from the draws.

- This game turned out to be a wild one But usually the game plays tight and straightforward for a micro SNG, since the goal is not to come in first place, but only to survive.

- Playability. The turn and river are likely to bring overcards, flush cards, and / or straight cards. My hand is unlikely to improve, so I will probably face difficult decisions on future streets.

- It's early in the tournament, and three of the remaining six players look like fishes. If I save my chips now I am likely to find better spots later.

Outcome:
I called.
Turn came T♠, an overcard that completed a straight draw
Villain made a pot-sized bet.
I folded.
 
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