$3 NLHE MTT: Facing a DB w TPTK on an AKT board

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 31/17/7

Preflop action:

Game started at: 2017/9/26 12:31:29
Game ID: 1016308726 300/600 $1,000 GTD, Table 6 (Hold'em)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 1: HERO (49355).
Seat 3: Eraserhead86 (16650).
Seat 4: G3N3R4L (28150).
Seat 6: VILLAIN (61755).
Seat 7: donkfish23 (39141).
Seat 8: Makaritto (33338).
Seat 9: noirduck (14513).
Player G3N3R4L ante (75)
Player VILLAIN ante (75)
Player donkfish23 ante (75)
Player Makaritto ante (75)
Player noirduck ante (75)
Player HERO ante (75)
Player Eraserhead86 ante (75)
Player G3N3R4L has small blind (300)
Player VILLAIN has big blind (600)
Player HERO received card: [Ad]
Player HERO received card: [Qc]
Player donkfish23 folds
Player Makaritto folds
Player noirduck folds
Player HERO raises (1320)
Player Eraserhead86 folds
Player G3N3R4L folds
Player VILLAIN calls (720)

Flop
*** FLOP ***: [Kc 10c Ah]
Player VILLAIN bets (1732)

I called w TPTK and the gutshot to broadway

V is still firing on the turn when the T pairs

Player HERO calls (1732)
*** TURN ***: [Kc 10c Ah] [10s]
Player VILLAIN bets (5196)

Do you call or fold?

I think I'm calling and folding river if he fires the third bullet

Villain AF very high, especially considering VPIP. Do you know how many hands these stats are based on?

Call turn and likely call or jam river vs a bet.

trent32la said:

Call turn and likely call or jam river vs a bet.

Click to expand...

is it profitable to jam river on micros?

kozong said:

is it profitable to jam river on micros?

Spoiler

ur hot btw, wats ur number

Click to expand...

It's tough to say, if V has a high AF then jamming river likely will not be profitable because V will call all hands A2 and better. Jamming applies a lot of pressure though and the only hands V should call with are AT/KT/QJ.

call turn, fold river by default. If he is nit, then we can think of folding turn, if he loose agressive, then call river.

The river gets interesting. We hit broadway and V checks OOP.

Thin value time?

If so, how much? are we bet folding?

*** RIVER ***: [Kc 10c Ah 10s] [Jh]
Player VILLAIN checks

Just 5 combos beat you (three each KK, JJ, one AA, one TT), and it seems unlikely that this villain, who has been hyper-aggressive post-flop, checks any of them here.

Tx, 2 pair hands, or hands with a Q may call.

41,052 in your stack and 17,471 in the pot, I think.

Ratio of VPIP to PFR indicates calling station tendencies. My guess is that this villain calls a 2/3 pot bet almost as often as he calls a smaller bet, so I'd bet 2/3 pot. It could be a nefarious plot to check-raise you after you get pot committed, but if this player was that smart would he have those stats?