P
ph_il
...
Silver Level
I'd like to get some opinions on this final table play to see if my thinking is flawed and if this is a leak that needs plugging.
Also, I type a lot and I apologize. I just have so much stuff in my head going at once that I feel like I have to get out. So, to save those from having to read a long-winded post (if you're not into that), here is the shortened version:
-Do I give up a potential lock on 7th place with my short stack? Or
-Do I risk my short stack for a potential 4th place spot and a better chance of finishing in top 3, but at the risking of finishing in 8th-9th and giving up a small money jump I would've earned finishing in 7th?
I don't have a HH, but I did screenshot everything. I'll be rounding the stacks and stacks will be after blinds and antes posted.
Blinds: 2K/4K/400
DLR: 214K
SB: 184K
BB: 32K
UTG: 21K
HERO: 44K - AQs
MP1: 48K
MP2: 105K
HJ: 2K
CO: 46K
UTG shoves for 21K or just over 5 BBs?
HERO: ???
I notice that there is an extremely short stack who will likely be out by antes alone before the blinds get to them. I also know that I am likely crushing UTGs shove range with my hand, but I have a lot of big stacks behind me still to act.
I could fold here and lock up 8th place (where I'm currently) at because it's likely the severe short stack is going out very soon. There is also a chance I secure a 2nd pay jump if UTG gets called and loses.
But with only 11 BBs, I feel like I'm giving up a ton of value with this hand if I just fold. As mentioned, I'm crushing UTG's shove range, but I'm also not too far behind a lot of hands other stacks could call my shove with. If I get coolered, I get coolered, but I don't thinking taking a flip here against a big stack isn't that bad and it's possible I get called by hands like AJ, KQ, A10s, etc that I dominate. So, am I in that bad of a situation if I re-jam and get called?
My other problem is that if I fold and UTG + severe short stack get KO'd, I'm now 7/7 with ~9 BBs (assuming I don't win any hands before severe short stacked gets KO'd) and now have to find spots to shove with hands that are way < AQs, unless I get lucky and pick up mosters.
So, is it better for me to fold here and at best lock up 8th place, 7th if UTG goes out as well? or Is jamming here to isolate with UTG the better play because I can potentially pick up a ~69K pot to put in in 4th in chips and have a better chance of finishing in top 3? However, there is definitely more risk in re-jamming with so many players behind to act.
I should note that the pay jumps from 9th-to-8th-to-7th are only ~$5, so they aren't that significant. However, if I fold, I potentially giving up a 4th place spot for $42.25 in place of at best a 7th place $17.50 if I fold and become the shortest stack if UTG and then 2K stack bust out before me, but I also run the risk of finish 9th if I get called and lose, and UTG wins.
Finishing in top 3 has always been the main motivation at FTs and I'm always taking these risks with my shortish stacks where I'm in the bottom 3, but am I making the right decision?
Also, I type a lot and I apologize. I just have so much stuff in my head going at once that I feel like I have to get out. So, to save those from having to read a long-winded post (if you're not into that), here is the shortened version:
-Do I give up a potential lock on 7th place with my short stack? Or
-Do I risk my short stack for a potential 4th place spot and a better chance of finishing in top 3, but at the risking of finishing in 8th-9th and giving up a small money jump I would've earned finishing in 7th?
I don't have a HH, but I did screenshot everything. I'll be rounding the stacks and stacks will be after blinds and antes posted.
Blinds: 2K/4K/400
DLR: 214K
SB: 184K
BB: 32K
UTG: 21K
HERO: 44K - AQs
MP1: 48K
MP2: 105K
HJ: 2K
CO: 46K
UTG shoves for 21K or just over 5 BBs?
HERO: ???
I notice that there is an extremely short stack who will likely be out by antes alone before the blinds get to them. I also know that I am likely crushing UTGs shove range with my hand, but I have a lot of big stacks behind me still to act.
I could fold here and lock up 8th place (where I'm currently) at because it's likely the severe short stack is going out very soon. There is also a chance I secure a 2nd pay jump if UTG gets called and loses.
But with only 11 BBs, I feel like I'm giving up a ton of value with this hand if I just fold. As mentioned, I'm crushing UTG's shove range, but I'm also not too far behind a lot of hands other stacks could call my shove with. If I get coolered, I get coolered, but I don't thinking taking a flip here against a big stack isn't that bad and it's possible I get called by hands like AJ, KQ, A10s, etc that I dominate. So, am I in that bad of a situation if I re-jam and get called?
My other problem is that if I fold and UTG + severe short stack get KO'd, I'm now 7/7 with ~9 BBs (assuming I don't win any hands before severe short stacked gets KO'd) and now have to find spots to shove with hands that are way < AQs, unless I get lucky and pick up mosters.
So, is it better for me to fold here and at best lock up 8th place, 7th if UTG goes out as well? or Is jamming here to isolate with UTG the better play because I can potentially pick up a ~69K pot to put in in 4th in chips and have a better chance of finishing in top 3? However, there is definitely more risk in re-jamming with so many players behind to act.
I should note that the pay jumps from 9th-to-8th-to-7th are only ~$5, so they aren't that significant. However, if I fold, I potentially giving up a 4th place spot for $42.25 in place of at best a 7th place $17.50 if I fold and become the shortest stack if UTG and then 2K stack bust out before me, but I also run the risk of finish 9th if I get called and lose, and UTG wins.
Finishing in top 3 has always been the main motivation at FTs and I'm always taking these risks with my shortish stacks where I'm in the bottom 3, but am I making the right decision?
