$3.30 NLHE MTT: Light Squeeze on the Bubble

We are on the stone bubble. What do we think of this 3bet?


Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 625/1,250 NL - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4


BB: 26.86 BB (VPIP: 53.33, PFR: 32.76, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, hands: 62)
UTG: 6.05 BB (VPIP: 20.59, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 34)
CO: 28.98 BB (VPIP: 21.21, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 99)
BTN: 12.62 BB (VPIP: 21.74, PFR: 15.56, 3Bet Preflop: 10.53, Hands: 46)
Hero (SB): 34.63 BB


5 players post ante of 0.1 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB


Pre Flop: (pot: 2 BB) Hero has T:club: K:spade:


fold, CO raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 6.32 BB, fold, fold


[spoil]Hero wins 5.5 BB
[/spoil]

Looks like a good 3bet/fold to 4 bet jam to me!

Perfect.
What's his 3bet fold? My only caveat would be that I would not do this against a player who does not fold to 3bet much and 4bets a lot.

uavissar said:

Perfect.
What's his 3bet fold? My only caveat would be that I would not do this against a player who does not fold to 3bet much and 4bets a lot.

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It’s not one of the stats I look at. I mostly play tourneys and rarely get enough habds on people for that stat to be super relevant.

missjacki said:

It’s not one of the stats I look at. I mostly play tourneys and rarely get enough habds on people for that stat to be super relevant.

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At least from my experience online, if you play the same tourneys, you will get excellent stats on the regs (hundreds of hands) and I find this stat to be very useful.

Of course with this hand and against his position 3bet looks way better then call.

Perfect!

Seems like a pretty standard re-steal situation, even if you were not at the bubble. What is the weakest hand you would do this with?

AlexTheOwl said:

Seems like a pretty standard re-steal situation, even if you were not at the bubble. What is the weakest hand you would do this with?

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Hmmmm....there’s “would” and “should”


I don’t honestly know how wide I should raise here but being the bubble its probably much wider than I think.


As far as what I would do (or would have done in that moment) I probably reraise 66+, A2+ K9o+ K7s+ QTo+ JTo+ And some small suited connectors like 34s-67s and 1 gappers like 46s-58s


I’d probably flat 22-55 and medium suited connectors like 78s-J9s


But in hindsight I can probably 3bet a TON here due to bubble.

It's the bubble, but calling your 3-bet doesn't immediately risk the CO's stack. He should be calling with a tight range, since he'll be near the commitment threshold. But I'd guess that the average player at this buy-in calls wider than they should in this spot.
So I wouldn't go hog wild here.
Your ranges seem reasonable to me.

The player's stats make him look competent, but it's still a $3 MTT.

At this level, in a player pool of this size, specifically at the bubble, I wouldn't worry about balancing my 3-bet and flatting ranges.

I'd drop the one-gappers, and raise with every other hand you mentioned. I don't have a flatting range here.

If one of my opponents is clever enough to figure out that I don't have a flatting range, and have an unbalanced (but fairly wide) 3-bet range, with effective stacks of about this size, from the blinds, at the bubble, then good for them.