$3.30 NLHE MTT Deep Stacked: Weird spot on the flop with top pair J kicker

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TheShek

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Feb 24, 2018
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This is a spot I come across a lot. I'm playing very conservatively this morning, partly due to tiredness and partly because this game is not within the limits of my bankroll. I want to cash.

I raised AhJh off a 22bb stack from UTG. MP player min raises and there are three callers. Flop is AcTc6d. I check, MP who 3-bet also checks, and the button bets half pot. The button has me covered.


What would you do here? Do you go with this hand or wait to find a better spot? Again I have no HUD stats or reads on this player, so I can only really go by the preflop action to get a feel for his range.


I'm thinking either he has a set of 6's, AT, AK/AQ or a bunch of worse Aces than mine.


I just ran this through the odds Oracle, given villain the range of any Ace, 66, and a bunch of two pair combos. Adding in flush draws doesn't change anything, it's a very close spot, just about 50/50.


Does anyone see any flaws in my reasoning in analysing this hand? At the time I folded as I intuitively felt it was too close.
 
ZenGreen

ZenGreen

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Im shoving over his bet or folding. with the BBs left, no sense playing it any other way. Im not calling but if I do call its with the intention of getting it all in on the turn. Just food for thought, AJs UTg with a raise 2 callers is not the best scenerio if youre looking to cash. If you wanted to cash FOLD PRE. If youre opening this hand you are not calling a min raise, you are shoving over that min raise pre.
 
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