mbrenneman0
Legend
Silver Level
The action here and player types and the action along with this board indicate that there are very few flushdraws out there despite the two clubs. I think the best case scenario is that BB has two pair. there are some higher sets and some pair + gutshot hands and a couple combos of QJs. Q and Jx are the worst river cards, clubs arent great but im not that worried about clubs here.
Am I correct in assuming that raising this turn to protect my set isnt really valid given there are only 8/47 possible river cards that really suck and the only thing that folds are club draws and naked bluffs
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 25/50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 94.7 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 3.03, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)
BB: 66.9 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 5.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 40)
UTG: 87.5 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
Hero (UTG+1): 121.1 BB
MP: 136.84 BB (VPIP: 38.46, PFR: 25.64, 3Bet Preflop: 18.18, Hands: 40)
MP+1: 158.3 BB (VPIP: 17.14, PFR: 2.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 35)
MP+2: 83.2 BB (VPIP: 24.26, PFR: 17.78, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 137)
CO: 117.3 BB (VPIP: 25.45, PFR: 12.73, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 57)
BTN: 129.5 BB (VPIP: 28.28, PFR: 21.35, 3Bet Preflop: 11.33, Hands: 537)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2:club: 2:heart:
fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, MP+1 calls 3 BB, fold, CO calls 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold
Flop: (13 BB, 4 players) T:club: A:diamond: K:diamond:
SB checks, Hero checks, MP+1 checks, CO checks
Turn: (13 BB, 4 players) 2:spade:
SB bets 9.76 BB,
Am I correct in assuming that raising this turn to protect my set isnt really valid given there are only 8/47 possible river cards that really suck and the only thing that folds are club draws and naked bluffs
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 25/50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 94.7 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 3.03, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)
BB: 66.9 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 5.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 40)
UTG: 87.5 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
Hero (UTG+1): 121.1 BB
MP: 136.84 BB (VPIP: 38.46, PFR: 25.64, 3Bet Preflop: 18.18, Hands: 40)
MP+1: 158.3 BB (VPIP: 17.14, PFR: 2.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 35)
MP+2: 83.2 BB (VPIP: 24.26, PFR: 17.78, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 137)
CO: 117.3 BB (VPIP: 25.45, PFR: 12.73, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 57)
BTN: 129.5 BB (VPIP: 28.28, PFR: 21.35, 3Bet Preflop: 11.33, Hands: 537)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2:club: 2:heart:
fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, MP+1 calls 3 BB, fold, CO calls 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold
Flop: (13 BB, 4 players) T:club: A:diamond: K:diamond:
SB checks, Hero checks, MP+1 checks, CO checks
Turn: (13 BB, 4 players) 2:spade:
SB bets 9.76 BB,
Hero calls 9.76 BB, fold, CO calls 9.76 BB
River: (42.28 BB, 3 players) Q:diamond:
SB bets 22 BB, Hero calls 22 BB, fold
Literally the worst possible river. I dont think I can fold this river though given SPR and the odds that he just has two pair here. let me know if you think I'm wrong to call here
SB shows J:club: Q:club: (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 52%, Flop 97%, Turn 77%)
Hero shows 2:club: 2:heart: (Three of a Kind, Twos)
(Pre 48%, Flop 3%, Turn 23%)
SB wins 86.28 BB
River: (42.28 BB, 3 players) Q:diamond:
SB bets 22 BB, Hero calls 22 BB, fold
Literally the worst possible river. I dont think I can fold this river though given SPR and the odds that he just has two pair here. let me know if you think I'm wrong to call here
SB shows J:club: Q:club: (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 52%, Flop 97%, Turn 77%)
Hero shows 2:club: 2:heart: (Three of a Kind, Twos)
(Pre 48%, Flop 3%, Turn 23%)
SB wins 86.28 BB