$1 NLHE MTT: AJs squeeze or flat call from CU?

rikoberto

rikoberto

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888 Poker - 1400/2800 Ante 350 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 36.33 BB (VPIP: 38.33, PFR: 18.64, 3Bet Preflop: 9.52, hands: 60)
Hero (SB): 20.55 BB
BB: 26.65 BB (VPIP: 40.74, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 27)
UTG: 30.42 BB (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 7.79, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 78)
UTG+1: 62.46 BB (VPIP: 22.07, PFR: 15.49, 3Bet Preflop: 2.13, Hands: 146)
MP: 52.17 BB (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
MP+1: 23.32 BB (VPIP: 26.92, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 26)
CO: 55.8 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)

8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has J A

UTG raises to 2 BB, UTG+1 calls 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 2 BB, Hero calls 1.5 BB, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (11 BB, 5 players) 4 A 6
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, Hero raises to 18.43 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, BTN calls 15.43 BB

Turn: (50.86 BB, 2 players) Q

River: (50.86 BB, 2 players) 9

BTN shows 9 A (Two Pair, Aces and Nines)
(Pre 26%, Flop 19%, Turn 33%)
Hero shows J A (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 74%, Flop 81%, Turn 67%)
BTN wins 50.86 BB


Hello,i would like to ask if this was a clear squeeze chance that i missed or my flat call is also correct.Considering how NIT is the UTG player,whats the best line i should follow?Any other comment would be accepted ofc..(for example about my shove at flop)..Thank you :)

Edit(AJs squeeze or flat call from SB should be the heading line...my mistake)
 
Last edited:
T

trent32la

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Never flatting here off 20bb with AJs, clear shove or fold spot.

I ran some quick #s in ICMizer. Assuming UTG opens 66+ AT+ KQ+ and only calls off JJ+ AK+, UTG+1 flats 55-JJ, AT-AQ, KQ, and button flats JJ-66,AQ-AT,KJs+,KQo,QTs+,QJo,JTs,T9s and both only call off AJ this is a very thin +cEV shove with AJs and our shoving range should be 77+ AJ+.

If UTG or any of the flat callers are calling off AQ and TT, then AJs is an even thinner shove and AJo is a fold.

As played, really thin x/shove on this flop and part of the reason I'm folding pre. If UTG only has AT+ in his range and cbets the flop with just Ax hands, then you're shove is suicide and that doesn't even include the times when Button has a better hand.
 
rikoberto

rikoberto

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Thank u very much for quick answer...i was estimating also that AQ+ is for shoving in this spot and that AJs is marginal for this,just i did the mistake to call and not to fold it..But let me say u something about flop play..the utg raiser bets around 1/4 of pot which for sure cant be for value with that draws..i detected as probe bet or block bet of some big pairs which doesnt want to check/call with Ace down..About BTN player,he calls again so he could have weak ace or strong draw on flop thats why i shoved as i felt i am ahead and with my all-in i dont give him the correct pot odds for his call:)
 
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Vzan23

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Clear shove here... you might consider a call if action was folded to you... but with 4 bbs extra in the pot...

Aj s I far ahead of callers range and even if UTG is opening only 8%...

He's got almost any broadway and pairs 66+ in his range plus few hands you dominate...

The fact you increase by 30% when they fold and the equity you got when get called makes this a clear shove....

Let's say UTG is at the very top of his range and got KK...

No probs 1 / 3 ace ball and you win
 
mcgregor_415

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According to stats UTG is pretty tight. To raise from this spot he probably had TT+ or AQ at least. So preflop you must consider your call, because of your position and the call by the button. On the flop you hit the ace, so your chances raised a lot and only AK/AQ could be a danger from the UTG.
 
SuzdalDEcor

SuzdalDEcor

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Flat call ofc. Its a good hand! Not for bluff in this situation.

And from CU same. If you got 4-bet you must fold this good hand.
 
mbrenneman0

mbrenneman0

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I agree with trent that its push or fold pre, but maybe it's because im a nit, im probably folding pre... raise under the gun seems strong... if i had more than 20bb in this spot id consider squeezing, but i think our stack is too big to consider shoving this wide pre especially with action infront of us that might call, but our stack is too small to 3 bet and leave much to work with postflop. i nit up pretty strong when im between 15-20bb and usually only shove pre when theres no action infront of us i open up my preflop shoving range considerably when i get below 15bb and open up my pfr and 3betting range when im above 20bb

this is just my style and my two cents though, could be a leak in my game for all i know.
 
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