$1.1 NLHE MTT Rebuy: How do I play against this?

NL Holdem $250(BB)
EP ($9940) [VPIP: 13% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 33.3% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 23]
MP ($11916) [VPIP: 23.4% | PFR: 18.2% | AGG: 25.9% | 3-Bet: 15.4% | Hands: 78]
HJ ($19715) [VPIP: 42.9% | PFR: 28.6% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 33.3% | Hands: 7]
CO ($10000) [VPIP: 26.8% | PFR: 11.3% | AGG: 13% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 97]
BTN ($21127) [VPIP: 46.3% | PFR: 13.4% | AGG: 30.9% | 3-Bet: 11.1% | Hands: 68]
SB ($29058) [VPIP: 32.4% | PFR: 18.3% | AGG: 34.1% | 3-Bet: 10% | Hands: 73]
HERO ($7956) [VPIP: 20.8% | PFR: 15% | AGG: 27% | 3-Bet: 6.2% | Hands: 8200]
UTG ($375) [VPIP: 50% | PFR: 25% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 4]

Dealt to Hero: T♥ T♦

UTG Folds, EP Folds, MP Folds, HJ Calls $250, CO Folds, BTN Calls $250, SB Calls $125, HERO Raises To $1030, HJ Folds, BTN Calls $750, SB Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [2.53 effective]
Flop ($2740): 5♠ J♠ 7♥
HERO Bets $1000 (Rem. Stack: 5926), BTN Calls $1000 (Rem. Stack: 19097)

Turn ($4740): 5♠ J♠ 7♥ J♣
HERO Bets $2250 (Rem. Stack: 3676), BTN Raises To $4500 (Rem. Stack: 14597), HERO?

Don't like your preflop raise sizing here. You have an M of about 20 and the BTN & SB have an active VPIP%. I would expect both of them to have overs to my TT here. With your normal raise sizing you are giving the opponents still better than 2:1 odds with their overs. I'd rather over-bet preflop here to say 2500 to deny those odds and also make my flop shove right around a PSB. If the flop has 2 overs then you can get away and still have an M of 12 which preserves some FE for your future shoves. With just a flop of Qxx or Jxx it's an easy shove on the flop with the larger preflop bet sizing, a PSB maximizes your FE. You can do this with a large portion of your range 77-AA, AK-AT, A2-A5, KQ

So preflop bet larger with your M of 16-25 stack so that you can
1) maximize FE prefop
2) maximize FE with a PSB on the flop.

As played, I'm shoving back over the top here. You've raise preflop, bet flop and bet turn, so why would BTN want to min-raise you here if he had a J since he'll have the last action on the river. If he really had a J then he should be just calling and then value betting or shoving of your action on the river.

Wow, thanks that all made perfect sense. Great explanation. I'll look for spots like these in future games. I really appreciate the input.

What does M stand for?

triplstacker said:

What does M stand for?

Click to expand...

Refers to the M-Zone style of stack evaluation. Can't say I've ever used it but some people love it. It certainly has uses but I just go by BBs.