Originally Posted by westaspire
I appreciate any help.
$0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
UTG: $14.67 VP: 20 | PR: 14
Hero (BTN): $11.22
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A♣ Q♠
UTG raises to $0.30, fold, Hero raises to $0.80, fold, fold, UTG calls $0.50
Flop: ($1.75, 2 players) A♦ 9♦ 9♣
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.30, UTG calls $1.30
Turn: ($4.35, 2 players) 3♦
UTG checks, Hero bets $2.90, UTG raises to $7.00, Hero? and why?
Did i make a mistake 3betting pfr?
Villain is PFR 14% of his hands, AQo is ahead of 14% of hands, however he's under the gun, so you can knock off a couple % for his range, however it's 6-handed, so you can add on a couple % for his range. Flop presents a flush draw and a paired board. You hold on A, which means there are four cards out there to represent possible made hands. (Two aces, and two nines). The check/call on the flop could be a slow played 9, a flush draw, or a weaker A. Rarely would I expect AK to check/call this flop.
The turn presents a completed flush draw. Check raises on the turn usually come from strong completed hands. However it also presents a scare card. "If you're going to bluff, bluff when the scare card hits" - Me. I'd probably check this turn here, as while you pick up a few outs, you're drawing slim against a K high flush, and raising can create a real predicament.
What I'd do: Jam. It's only $10.
What I'd do if this were a lot more money: You're beating a weaker A, a pocket pair that doesn't have any friends on the board, and a bluff.
And this is quite the situation. You're in this pot for 40 BBs and he wants to play for 41 more. A river that doesn't improve us puts the pot at some 160 BBs and we really can't fold, so it's either jam or fold here.
It depends on our villain and how he plays. Against an unknown I'm checking the turn behind.
As played, I'd probably fold and reload.