Top two pair VS trips, what to do?
I am in a casino last night, have been there for hours. $1-2 NL Hold'em. Have $400 in chips. This middleaged asian guy raises preflop $16. He is semi-tight, not too aggressive. It folds around to me in late position. I call with JK offsuit feeling like seeing a flop because I like my position. I am the only caller.
The flop comes down K J 7 rainbow. Asian guy leads into me with $20. I flat call to say that I have the K but try to hide my J.
The turn comes a Q. He leads again with $40. I try to think about what he has. He knows I wouldn't call with A10 and I know he wouldn't raise with A10. I also know he doesn't raise with KQ. If he has KK, I think he checks the flop to me, because he knows I'll bet no matter what I have. I feel that if he has AA or AK he should bet a lot bigger on the turn to try to steal the pot, or not at all. But maybe he felt my call on the flop was weak? He knows I am capable of folding to $40 on the turn.
I decide to flat call again.
The river comes an A, meaning that according to my analysis, he now has trip aces, or Aces and Kings. This just sucks. He bets $35. Stupidly I call. He shows me pocket Jacks!
Obviously I should have folded the river; there was nothing he could have had at that point, that I could beat. What bothers me is that I can't figure out a way to suss out his trips.
There were many possible combinations for pocket aces or AK, but only one combination for Jacks. So I feel it's better to call the flop than raise; in most cases, disguising my hand was the best move, since if I min-raise he knows I have KJ, and if he has AA or AK he calls then folds the turn if it doesn't help. If I do a bigger raise he might fold top pair top kicker or overpair to me. He might not, it's hard to say. If he has the jacks he shoves me all in and I have a tough decision.
But the turn, his bet really does look like a damned value bet. And now he could have a possible trip Jacks or trip Queens. Should I have folded there? How do I suss out the trips? Three times yesterday I lost top two pair to them.