Top pair top kicker vs. overbet on flop

Have a look at stewart's play here. He's holding Ah, Ks.

** Game ID 14823292 starting - 2006-11-30 20:53:17
** On Request [Hold 'em] (2.00|4.00 No Limit - Cash Game) real money

- Poker_Fairy sitting in seat 1 with R668.00
- godfather sitting in seat 2 with R185.18
- loopy sitting in seat 3 with R394.50
- runan sitting in seat 4 with R552.75
- PokeHerFace sitting in seat 5 with R396.00
- Womble sitting in seat 6 with R303.25
- stewart sitting in seat 8 with R419.25 [Dealer]

Poker_Fairy posted the small blind - R2.00
godfather posted the big blind - R4.00
PokeHerFace posted to play - R4.00

** Dealing card to loopy: King of Clubs, Queen of Clubs
loopy raised - R18.00
runan folded
PokeHerFace called - R18.00
Womble folded
stewart called - R18.00
Poker_Fairy folded
godfather folded

** Dealing the flop: 6 of Diamonds, 2 of Diamonds, Ace of Clubs
loopy bet - R15.00
PokeHerFace raised - R90.00
stewart - ??? (what would you do here with TPTK? PokerHerFace (lovely) has been very aggressive in almost every pot).
loopy folded. (<--- Easy fold for me.)

If I was stewart, I would push all in. With top pair/best kicker and two diamonds on the board, you have to make PokerHerFace pay big to chase the flush if he wants to chase it. My guess is PokerHerFace has an Ace/Lower Kicker and the Ace is a diamond.

t1riel said:

If I was stewart, I would push all in. With top pair/best kicker and two diamonds on the board, you have to make PokerHerFace pay big to chase the flush if he wants to chase it. My guess is PokerHerFace has an Ace/Lower Kicker and the Ace is a diamond.

Click to expand...

If that's the case, the guy with AK is only 53% to win. Do you really want to push here when he could equally have a set or 2 pair?

Bombjack said:

If that's the case, the guy with AK is only 53% to win. Do you really want to push here when he could equally have a set or 2 pair?

Click to expand...

Well, PokerHerFace has been aggressive in almost every pot as stated earlier. That doesn't mean he has a monster or great hand every time. He raised on the flop becuase of the bet made by loopy hih was less than what he bet preflop. That's a sign of weakness so he took advantage of it. I don't think he was expecting stewart to call or even raise. You telling me you're going to just call with (probably) and get outdrawn? Stewart should try to take the pot here.

If you're happy to do so put in a 3x raise, but be prepared to commit your stack. An aggressive player with a flush draw may well go all in thinking they're 50/50 to catch it.

If you're not prepared to risk your stack, fold and wait for a better opportunity.

My instincts were the same as T1riel's. Here's how it panned out:

** Dealing the flop: 6 of Diamonds, 2 of Diamonds, Ace of Clubs
loopy bet - R15.00
PokeHerFace raised - R90.00
stewart called - R90.00
loopy folded

** Dealing the turn: 3 of Spades
PokeHerFace bet - R40.00
stewart called - R40.00

** Dealing the river: 7 of Clubs
PokeHerFace bet - R48.00
stewart called - R48.00
PokeHerFace shows: Jack of Diamonds, 6 of Hearts
stewart shows: Ace of Hearts, King of Spades
stewart wins R421.50 from the main pot

End of game 14823292

I don't necessarily mind calling the flop but that turn bet is absolutely begging for a push over the top.