This is a discussion on Test your Small Stakes No Limit Hold 'Em Part 7 within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; SB ($77) Hero ($190) MP1 ($164) MP2 ($11) CO ($240) Button ($38) Preflop: Hero is BB with T http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/images/graemlins/club.gif T http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/images/graemlins/heart.gif . SB posts a blind of $0.50. 3 folds, MP1 calls 

: Hero flopped a set in this hand. When you hold a pp, what percentage of the time will  
~8%  21.21%  
~12%  75.76%  
~15%  0%  
~19%  3.03%  
Voters: 33. You may not vote on this poll 

#1




Test your Small Stakes No Limit Hold 'Em Part 7
SB ($77)
Hero ($190) MP1 ($164) MP2 ($11) CO ($240) Button ($38) Preflop: Hero is BB with T T [image: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/images/graemlins/heart.gif] . SB posts a blind of $0.50. 3 folds, MP1 calls $1, MP2 calls $1, 1 fold, CO calls $1, Button calls $1, SB completes, Hero checks. Flop: ($6, 6 players) SB checks, Hero bets $6, MP1 and CO call, all else fold. Turn: ($24, 3 players) Hero Bets $21, MP1 calls, CO folds. River: ($66, 2 players) Hero bets $35, MP1 raises to $100, Hero folds 
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Computer "unbeatable" at HU Limit Hold'em  61  19th November 2015 5:04 PM  Poker News  nabmom 
#3




ditto
same goes here  I know I'm right, but anyone who voted for a different answer than I did PLEASE tell me where/when you play poker...
BTW  just to be clear  I'm assuming you mean the % chance of flopping a set OR better (ie, quads). The statistical chance of quads isn't great, but it's there. 
#6




re: Poker & Test your Small Stakes No Limit Hold 'Em Part 7
Quote:

#9




I'm not great with odds or percentages when it comes to poker but after doing some quick calculations in my head it seems I had picked the right one, according to the poll anyway.

#14




12% pure guess on my part
The only question I hesitated to answer. I don't know the percentages of flopping sets
But I would assume it is more than 8% which seems so small since people will limp in with pockets hoping to flop a set, then I assume it happens enough times to make it worthwhile to call. 19% seems way too often and so does 15. 
#15




I got a little bored just now and decided to revisit the actual calculation of flopping a set when you hold a pocket pair. I looked back through one of my old college math books which has a good section on probability and discovered that the actual number is 11.51%
What does this mean? It means I'm a bit of a nerd with to much time on his hands. 
#17




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Here's the NERD numbers: chance of set or better 11.75% chance of set or Fullhouse 11.51% chance of set only 10.78% chance of fullhouse only (any) 0.98% chance of FH (with 3 tens, board pair) 0.73% chance of FH (with 2 tens, board trips) 0.25% chance of quads 0.24% Now who's a nerd (or at least someone with a verified odds table)? 
#19




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Does anyone want to know how to do these calculations? I won't force the math at you but if anyone is interested I could do it. 
#20




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#21




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#22




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I think I will do a thread on it, instead of hijacking this one. 
#23




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#25




I can't even tell what the question is
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Then it's ~%12 (or ~1/8). Remember that from some poker book or another. 
#28




funny thing...
the actuals odds of flopping "trips or better" is almost exactly 12%.
Iif you have pocket Tens, then the odds of flopping 3 tens (or better) is 11.75 %  but there's also a .25% chance of a trip board (e.g. 999) for a fullhouse, making it pretty much spot on 12% to flop trips/boat/quad. Weird how it works out, huh? 
#29




Quote:
1  48/50*47/49*46/48 = 0.1176 In words: 100% minus the odds of NOT flopping a ten (i.e. any of the remaining 48 cards coming down on any of the three flop cards). You read this as "one minus the prob of not a ten AND not a ten AND not a ten". This then gives the odds of flopping AT LEAST one ten (two would give you quads). This number also includes FH's (from a paired board). 
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Computer "unbeatable" at HU Limit Hold'em  61  19th November 2015 5:04 PM  Poker News  nabmom 