Spewy lagfish villain, massive overbet AI... do we have the equity here with overs?

Tygran

Tygran

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Don't have a HEM on the laptop so I'll just recreate it..

Villain is very LAG, very fishy and seems to be tilting after losing most of a good sized stack. He's calling everything in any position and has been caught bluffing multiple times, and sucked out a couple times in big pots to build his stack.


Goes something like this...

Hero: $50 (Hi Jack)
Villain: $15 (SB)

Dealt to hero: Ad Qs

Folds around
Hero raises to $2
Folds to SB who Calls
BB Folds

Flop: 2s 7c 8d

SB: Shoves All-In $13
Hero: ???


Like I said..pretty sure he's tilting hard.
 
Steveg1976

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This seems like a reasonable range so yes

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
249,480 games 0.016 secs 15,592,500 games/sec
Board: 2s 7c 8d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.102% 40.79% 02.31% 101769 5761.00 { 55+, A2s+, K9s+, QJs, A2o+, K9o+, QJo }
Hand 1: 56.898% 54.59% 02.31% 136189 5761.00 { AdQs }
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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From what you say, this looks like a reasonable range:

Board: 2s 7c 8d
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.711% 50.17% 00.54% 536938 5761.00 { AdQs }
Hand 1: 49.289% 48.75% 00.54% 521730 5761.00 { random }

i don't really like to call a shove when i coin-flip with ATC. wait for a better spot, imo.
 
F Paulsson

F Paulsson

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I'm pretty sure you can remove 87, 22, 77 and 88 from that range, Belgo. :)
 
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