Originally Posted by joeeagles
Why not shove Stef? You have a FH, he bets $32 on a river that didn't help him. His play, including PF raise, could be anything QQ+, AK, AQ, AJ, KQ, and even if less probable, AT. There's always the chance he slowplayed a monster of course, as he did, but shoving there is not a bad idea as you can induce a call from many hands, depending on player, particularly overpairs. The shove is fine IMO.
Why would any of those hands take this line?
This is a very very suspect line he's taken IMO. Why would he try to bluff the river with a strong unimproved ace if we've been shown keen interest in showing down the hand? He would be happy to check the river. There would be no reason for him to bet. This just smells like a trap to me.
Having said all that, we're too shortstacked to get away from this anyways. I think smooth calling the river is just weak, but we can't raise a smaller amount considering his huge bet, then fold to a reraise. Buy in for the maximum every time. In this scenario, it would give you the chance to raise the river then fold to a big reraise.
Oh, and raise/fold preflop. Limping first in on the button in a shorthanded game is really bad.