K
kavelot
Rising Star
Bronze Level
hi
I often see recomendations to do a pot-size bet when you have a big pair and think you're opponent is flushing (supposing you're playing with just one person)
people usually states that there's a ~33% chance of catching the flush on the turn+river, so pot-size is the right size
but, supposing no one is going all-in or pot commited, in fact there's around 16% chance of getting it on the turn + 16% of getting it on the river
so it seems you should just protect against the turn first (since you'll bet again if it doesn't come)... this makes a little more than half-pot bet reasonable
doesn't it make sense?
of course you'd get more draws doing that, but that's what you want, since they will already be paying a high price to draw that
the only exception I can think is when you're against 2 other people... since the second would have odds to call if the first called... in this case, a 80% pot-size seems nice
I often see recomendations to do a pot-size bet when you have a big pair and think you're opponent is flushing (supposing you're playing with just one person)
people usually states that there's a ~33% chance of catching the flush on the turn+river, so pot-size is the right size
but, supposing no one is going all-in or pot commited, in fact there's around 16% chance of getting it on the turn + 16% of getting it on the river
so it seems you should just protect against the turn first (since you'll bet again if it doesn't come)... this makes a little more than half-pot bet reasonable
doesn't it make sense?
of course you'd get more draws doing that, but that's what you want, since they will already be paying a high price to draw that
the only exception I can think is when you're against 2 other people... since the second would have odds to call if the first called... in this case, a 80% pot-size seems nice